Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.402.99safe0.62–2.560.55–2.261.17–4.81safer0.37–2.810.32–2.490.69–5.29
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.984.199.16safe3.12–6.842.44–5.935.56–12.77safer2.63–7.331.98–6.394.60–13.72
Total shots
77%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8511.5627.41safe11.93–19.788.00–15.1219.92–34.90safer10.84–20.877.04–16.0817.87–36.95
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.827.6017.43safe6.88–12.774.92–10.2811.80–23.05safer6.05–13.604.18–11.0210.24–24.62
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.307.62safe2.44–6.201.65–4.954.08–11.15safer1.89–6.751.15–5.443.05–12.19
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.359.79safe3.23–7.652.35–6.355.57–14.00safer2.65–8.231.82–6.884.47–15.11
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.9648.92safe45.17–58.7542.14–55.71safer43.50–60.4240.47–57.38
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction467439906safe400–535372–505772–1040safer382–553355–523737–1075
Pass accuracy %
47%
47%
homeawayprediction73.9873.99safe69.95–78.0069.67–78.31safer68.65–79.3068.36–79.62
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0913.3623.45safe7.25–12.9210.42–16.3117.67–29.23safer6.49–13.689.67–17.0616.16–30.74
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.883.56safe0.52–2.840.78–2.971.30–5.81safer0.22–3.140.50–3.260.71–6.40
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.093.57safe0.44–2.530.96–3.221.39–5.75safer0.17–2.800.67–3.510.84–6.31
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.135.78safe1.21–4.081.58–4.692.79–8.77safer0.82–4.471.15–5.121.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.84 2.63–7.33 | 4.19 2.44–5.93 1.98–6.39 | 9.16 5.56–12.77 4.60–13.72 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 15.85 11.93–19.78 10.84–20.87 | 11.56 8.00–15.12 7.04–16.08 | 27.41 19.92–34.90 17.87–36.95 | 77% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.88–12.77 6.05–13.60 | 7.60 4.92–10.28 4.18–11.02 | 17.43 11.80–23.05 10.24–24.62 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.20 1.89–6.75 | 3.30 1.65–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.62 4.08–11.15 3.05–12.19 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.65 2.65–8.23 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.88 | 9.79 5.57–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 51.96 45.17–58.75 43.50–60.42 | 48.92 42.14–55.71 40.47–57.38 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 467 400–535 382–553 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 906 772–1040 737–1075 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.98 69.95–78.00 68.65–79.30 | 73.99 69.67–78.31 68.36–79.62 | — | 47% 47% |
| Fouls | 10.09 7.25–12.92 6.49–13.68 | 13.36 10.42–16.31 9.67–17.06 | 23.45 17.67–29.23 16.16–30.74 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.88 0.78–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.44–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.12 | 5.78 2.79–8.77 1.98–9.59 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.