Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.042.94safe0.93–2.870.19–1.901.12–4.76safer0.68–3.120.00–2.120.64–5.24
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.579.14safe3.71–7.431.83–5.315.54–12.75safer3.22–7.921.36–5.784.58–13.70
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4710.2626.73safe12.54–20.396.70–13.8219.24–34.22safer11.45–21.485.74–14.7817.19–36.27
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.066.3417.40safe8.11–14.003.66–9.0211.78–23.02safer7.29–14.832.92–9.7610.21–24.59
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.097.32safe2.35–6.111.44–4.743.79–10.86safer1.80–6.660.95–5.242.75–11.89
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.899.86safe3.76–8.181.89–5.895.65–14.07safer3.18–8.761.36–6.424.54–15.18
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.5549.06safe44.76–58.3442.27–55.84safer43.09–60.0140.60–57.51
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction443425869safe376–511359–492735–1002safer358–529341–509699–1038
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction70.4074.54safe66.37–74.4370.22–78.86safer65.08–75.7268.91–80.17
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4913.0226.51safe10.65–16.3310.07–15.9620.72–32.29safer9.90–17.089.32–16.7119.22–33.79
Offsides
49%
18%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.792.325.11safe1.62–3.951.23–3.412.85–7.36safer1.32–4.250.94–3.702.26–7.95
Yellow cards
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.524.31safe0.75–2.841.39–3.652.13–6.49safer0.48–3.111.10–3.941.58–7.05
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.295.65safe0.92–3.791.74–4.852.66–8.64safer0.53–4.181.31–5.271.85–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.12 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 57% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.43 3.22–7.92 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.47 12.54–20.39 11.45–21.48 | 10.26 6.70–13.82 5.74–14.78 | 26.73 19.24–34.22 17.19–36.27 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.29–14.83 | 6.34 3.66–9.02 2.92–9.76 | 17.40 11.78–23.02 10.21–24.59 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.80–6.66 | 3.09 1.44–4.74 0.95–5.24 | 7.32 3.79–10.86 2.75–11.89 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.18 3.18–8.76 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.42 | 9.86 5.65–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 51.55 44.76–58.34 43.09–60.01 | 49.06 42.27–55.84 40.60–57.51 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 443 376–511 358–529 | 425 359–492 341–509 | 869 735–1002 699–1038 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.40 66.37–74.43 65.08–75.72 | 74.54 70.22–78.86 68.91–80.17 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 13.49 10.65–16.33 9.90–17.08 | 13.02 10.07–15.96 9.32–16.71 | 26.51 20.72–32.29 19.22–33.79 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.79 1.62–3.95 1.32–4.25 | 2.32 1.23–3.41 0.94–3.70 | 5.11 2.85–7.36 2.26–7.95 | 49% 18% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.58–7.05 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.45 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.