Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.422.78safe0.40–2.340.56–2.270.96–4.61safer0.15–2.590.33–2.500.48–5.09
Shots on target
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.464.599.05safe2.60–6.332.85–6.335.45–12.66safer2.11–6.822.38–6.804.49–13.61
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6513.2325.88safe8.72–16.579.67–16.8018.39–33.37safer7.63–17.668.71–17.7616.34–35.42
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.239.4317.67safe5.29–11.186.75–12.1212.04–23.29safer4.46–12.006.02–12.8510.48–24.86
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.393.637.01safe1.50–5.271.97–5.283.48–10.55safer0.96–5.811.48–5.772.44–11.58
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.115.1010.21safe2.90–7.323.10–7.106.00–14.42safer2.32–7.902.57–7.634.89–15.53
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction52.1248.19safe45.33–58.9141.40–54.97safer43.66–60.5839.73–56.65
Passes
63%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction439398837safe372–506331–464703–971safer354–525314–482668–1006
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction71.9771.24safe67.94–76.0066.91–75.56safer66.65–77.3065.60–76.87
Fouls
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1213.7226.84safe10.29–15.9610.77–16.6621.06–32.62safer9.53–16.7210.02–17.4119.55–34.13
Offsides
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.705.17safe1.30–3.631.61–3.802.92–7.42safer1.00–3.931.32–4.092.33–8.01
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.344.78safe1.39–3.491.21–3.472.60–6.96safer1.12–3.750.92–3.762.05–7.52
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.23safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.86
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.926.01safe1.65–4.521.36–4.473.01–9.00safer1.26–4.910.94–4.902.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.78 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 36% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 9.05 5.45–12.66 4.49–13.61 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.65 8.72–16.57 7.63–17.66 | 13.23 9.67–16.80 8.71–17.76 | 25.88 18.39–33.37 16.34–35.42 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.23 5.29–11.18 4.46–12.00 | 9.43 6.75–12.12 6.02–12.85 | 17.67 12.04–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.50–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 3.63 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 7.01 3.48–10.55 2.44–11.58 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.90–7.32 2.32–7.90 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.63 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 52.12 45.33–58.91 43.66–60.58 | 48.19 41.40–54.97 39.73–56.65 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 354–525 | 398 331–464 314–482 | 837 703–971 668–1006 | 63% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.97 67.94–76.00 66.65–77.30 | 71.24 66.91–75.56 65.60–76.87 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 13.12 10.29–15.96 9.53–16.72 | 13.72 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.41 | 26.84 21.06–32.62 19.55–34.13 | 42% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.63 1.00–3.93 | 2.70 1.61–3.80 1.32–4.09 | 5.17 2.92–7.42 2.33–8.01 | 37% 18% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.44 1.39–3.49 1.12–3.75 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.78 2.60–6.96 2.05–7.52 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 2.92 1.36–4.47 0.94–4.90 | 6.01 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.