Championship·Regular Season - 14·
Championship·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.002.56safe0.59–2.520.15–1.860.74–4.38safer0.34–2.780.00–2.080.26–4.86
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.803.388.18safe2.93–6.661.64–5.124.57–11.78safer2.44–7.151.17–5.593.62–12.74
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8710.6326.50safe11.94–19.797.07–14.2019.02–33.99safer10.85–20.896.11–15.1616.97–36.04
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.697.3517.04safe6.75–12.634.67–10.0311.42–22.66safer5.92–13.463.93–10.779.85–24.23
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.227.91safe2.81–6.571.57–4.874.38–11.45safer2.27–7.121.08–5.373.34–12.48
Corners
71%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.754.4111.16safe4.53–8.962.41–6.416.95–15.37safer3.96–9.541.88–6.945.84–16.48
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.6042.44safe50.81–64.3935.66–49.23safer49.14–66.0633.99–50.90
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction438290728safe371–505224–357595–862safer353–524206–374559–898
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction65.2962.59safe61.26–69.3258.26–66.91safer59.97–70.6156.96–68.22
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1313.5524.68safe8.29–13.9710.60–16.4918.90–30.46safer7.54–14.729.86–17.2417.39–31.97
Offsides
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.494.14safe0.49–2.811.40–3.581.89–6.39safer0.19–3.111.11–3.871.30–6.98
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.123.76safe0.59–2.680.99–3.251.58–5.93safer0.32–2.950.70–3.541.02–6.49
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.405.67safe0.83–3.701.85–4.962.67–8.66safer0.44–4.091.42–5.381.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.52 0.34–2.78 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.08 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 50% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.93–6.66 2.44–7.15 | 3.38 1.64–5.12 1.17–5.59 | 8.18 4.57–11.78 3.62–12.74 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.87 11.94–19.79 10.85–20.89 | 10.63 7.07–14.20 6.11–15.16 | 26.50 19.02–33.99 16.97–36.04 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.75–12.63 5.92–13.46 | 7.35 4.67–10.03 3.93–10.77 | 17.04 11.42–22.66 9.85–24.23 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.69 2.81–6.57 2.27–7.12 | 3.22 1.57–4.87 1.08–5.37 | 7.91 4.38–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.53–8.96 3.96–9.54 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.94 | 11.16 6.95–15.37 5.84–16.48 | 71% 20% |
| Possession % | 57.60 50.81–64.39 49.14–66.06 | 42.44 35.66–49.23 33.99–50.90 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–524 | 290 224–357 206–374 | 728 595–862 559–898 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.29 61.26–69.32 59.97–70.61 | 62.59 58.26–66.91 56.96–68.22 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.29–13.97 7.54–14.72 | 13.55 10.60–16.49 9.86–17.24 | 24.68 18.90–30.46 17.39–31.97 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.49 1.40–3.58 1.11–3.87 | 4.14 1.89–6.39 1.30–6.98 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.59–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.76 1.58–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 5.67 2.67–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 24% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.