Championship·Regular Season - 14·
Championship·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.152.33safe0.21–2.140.30–2.010.51–4.15safer0.00–2.400.07–2.240.03–4.63
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.844.117.94safe1.98–5.702.36–5.854.34–11.55safer1.49–6.191.90–6.313.38–12.50
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8812.8524.73safe7.96–15.819.29–16.4117.25–32.22safer6.87–16.908.33–17.3715.20–34.27
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.448.6316.07safe4.50–10.385.95–11.3110.45–21.69safer3.67–11.215.21–12.058.88–23.26
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.713.947.66safe1.83–5.602.29–5.604.12–11.19safer1.29–6.141.80–6.093.09–12.23
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.639.70safe2.86–7.292.63–6.635.49–13.92safer2.29–7.862.10–7.164.38–15.02
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction50.1651.16safe43.37–56.9544.38–57.95safer41.70–58.6242.71–59.62
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction432444876safe365–499378–511743–1010safer347–517360–528707–1046
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction69.3973.83safe65.36–73.4269.51–78.15safer64.07–74.7168.20–79.46
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7713.3924.16safe7.93–13.6110.45–16.3418.38–29.94safer7.18–14.369.70–17.0916.87–31.45
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.613.50safe0.73–3.050.52–2.701.25–5.76safer0.43–3.350.23–2.990.66–6.35
Yellow cards
32%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.344.24safe0.85–2.951.22–3.472.06–6.42safer0.58–3.210.92–3.761.51–6.98
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
40%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.775.48safe1.27–4.141.22–4.332.49–8.47safer0.88–4.530.79–4.761.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.40 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.33 0.51–4.15 0.03–4.63 | 36% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.98–5.70 1.49–6.19 | 4.11 2.36–5.85 1.90–6.31 | 7.94 4.34–11.55 3.38–12.50 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.88 7.96–15.81 6.87–16.90 | 12.85 9.29–16.41 8.33–17.37 | 24.73 17.25–32.22 15.20–34.27 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 7.44 4.50–10.38 3.67–11.21 | 8.63 5.95–11.31 5.21–12.05 | 16.07 10.45–21.69 8.88–23.26 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.71 1.83–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 3.94 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 7.66 4.12–11.19 3.09–12.23 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.16 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 50.16 43.37–56.95 41.70–58.62 | 51.16 44.38–57.95 42.71–59.62 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–517 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 876 743–1010 707–1046 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.39 65.36–73.42 64.07–74.71 | 73.83 69.51–78.15 68.20–79.46 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.77 7.93–13.61 7.18–14.36 | 13.39 10.45–16.34 9.70–17.09 | 24.16 18.38–29.94 16.87–31.45 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.50 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 2.34 1.22–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.51–6.98 | 32% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.76 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 40% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+