Championship·Regular Season - 28·
Championship·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.012.57safe0.59–2.530.16–1.870.75–4.39safer0.34–2.780.00–2.100.27–4.87
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.308.19safe3.03–6.751.56–5.044.59–11.80safer2.54–7.241.09–5.513.63–12.75
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.089.2124.30safe11.16–19.015.65–12.7816.81–31.79safer10.07–20.104.69–13.7414.76–33.84
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.996.2116.19safe7.04–12.933.53–8.8910.57–21.82safer6.22–13.762.79–9.629.00–23.38
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.696.91safe2.35–6.111.03–4.343.38–10.45safer1.80–6.650.54–4.832.34–11.48
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.854.059.90safe3.63–8.062.05–6.055.68–14.11safer3.06–8.631.52–6.584.58–15.22
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.2147.13safe44.42–58.0040.34–53.91safer42.75–59.6738.67–55.58
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction473419892safe406–540353–486758–1026safer387–558335–503723–1061
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction71.6171.66safe67.58–75.6467.34–75.98safer66.29–76.9366.03–77.29
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2510.9224.17safe10.41–16.087.98–13.8718.39–29.95safer9.65–16.847.23–14.6216.88–31.46
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.923.76safe0.68–3.000.83–3.011.51–6.02safer0.38–3.300.54–3.300.92–6.61
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.394.28safe0.84–2.941.27–3.522.10–6.46safer0.57–3.200.97–3.811.55–7.02
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
25%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.375.63safe0.83–3.701.81–4.932.64–8.62safer0.44–4.091.39–5.351.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.03–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 3.30 1.56–5.04 1.09–5.51 | 8.19 4.59–11.80 3.63–12.75 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.08 11.16–19.01 10.07–20.10 | 9.21 5.65–12.78 4.69–13.74 | 24.30 16.81–31.79 14.76–33.84 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.99 7.04–12.93 6.22–13.76 | 6.21 3.53–8.89 2.79–9.62 | 16.19 10.57–21.82 9.00–23.38 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 2.69 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.48 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.58 | 9.90 5.68–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 51.21 44.42–58.00 42.75–59.67 | 47.13 40.34–53.91 38.67–55.58 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 473 406–540 387–558 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 892 758–1026 723–1061 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.61 67.58–75.64 66.29–76.93 | 71.66 67.34–75.98 66.03–77.29 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 13.25 10.41–16.08 9.65–16.84 | 10.92 7.98–13.87 7.23–14.62 | 24.17 18.39–29.95 16.88–31.46 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.76 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 2.39 1.27–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.28 2.10–6.46 1.55–7.02 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.37 1.81–4.93 1.39–5.35 | 5.63 2.64–8.62 1.83–9.44 | 25% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.