Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.562.64safe0.11–2.040.71–2.420.82–4.46safer0.00–2.290.48–2.650.34–4.94
Shots on target
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.444.858.29safe1.57–5.303.11–6.594.68–11.89safer1.09–5.792.64–7.063.73–12.85
Total shots
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3813.6624.04safe6.46–14.3110.10–17.2216.56–31.53safer5.37–15.409.14–18.1814.50–33.58
Shots in box
30%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction7.399.0316.41safe4.44–10.336.35–11.7110.79–22.04safer3.61–11.165.61–12.459.22–23.60
Blocked shots
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.804.617.41safe0.92–4.682.96–6.273.88–10.95safer0.37–5.222.47–6.762.84–11.98
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.5110.23safe2.51–6.943.51–7.516.02–14.45safer1.94–7.512.98–8.044.91–15.55
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction43.0757.88safe36.28–49.8751.09–64.66safer34.61–51.5349.42–66.34
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction336464800safe268–403398–531666–934safer250–421380–548631–969
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction61.9875.15safe57.95–66.0170.82–79.47safer56.66–67.3169.51–80.78
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4310.0022.43safe9.59–15.267.06–12.9516.65–28.21safer8.83–16.026.31–13.7015.14–29.72
Offsides
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.125.72safe2.45–4.771.02–3.213.47–7.98safer2.15–5.070.73–3.502.88–8.57
Yellow cards
47%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.793.93safe1.10–3.190.66–2.921.76–6.11safer0.83–3.460.37–3.211.20–6.67
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
53%
17%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.375.46safe1.65–4.520.82–3.932.47–8.45safer1.26–4.910.39–4.361.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 26% 25% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.44 1.57–5.30 1.09–5.79 | 4.85 3.11–6.59 2.64–7.06 | 8.29 4.68–11.89 3.73–12.85 | 25% 62% |
| Total shots | 10.38 6.46–14.31 5.37–15.40 | 13.66 10.10–17.22 9.14–18.18 | 24.04 16.56–31.53 14.50–33.58 | 22% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.39 4.44–10.33 3.61–11.16 | 9.03 6.35–11.71 5.61–12.45 | 16.41 10.79–22.04 9.22–23.60 | 30% 61% |
| Blocked shots | 2.80 0.92–4.68 0.37–5.22 | 4.61 2.96–6.27 2.47–6.76 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 19% 68% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.04 | 10.23 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.55 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 43.07 36.28–49.87 34.61–51.53 | 57.88 51.09–64.66 49.42–66.34 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 336 268–403 250–421 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 800 666–934 631–969 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.98 57.95–66.01 56.66–67.31 | 75.15 70.82–79.47 69.51–80.78 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.43 9.59–15.26 8.83–16.02 | 10.00 7.06–12.95 6.31–13.70 | 22.43 16.65–28.21 15.14–29.72 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 3.61 2.45–4.77 2.15–5.07 | 2.12 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.50 | 5.72 3.47–7.98 2.88–8.57 | 66% 14% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.10–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.93 1.76–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 47% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 2.37 0.82–3.93 0.39–4.36 | 5.46 2.47–8.45 1.66–9.27 | 53% 17% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+