Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.040.932.97safe1.07–3.010.07–1.781.15–4.79safer0.82–3.260.00–2.010.67–5.27
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.563.118.67safe3.70–7.421.37–4.855.06–12.27safer3.21–7.910.90–5.324.11–13.23
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction15.118.9124.02safe11.19–19.045.35–12.4716.54–31.51safer10.10–20.134.39–13.4314.49–33.56
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.576.4717.04safe7.62–13.513.79–9.1511.41–22.66safer6.79–14.343.05–9.899.85–24.23
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.036.58safe2.67–6.430.37–3.683.04–10.11safer2.12–6.970.00–4.172.01–11.15
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.663.6310.29safe4.44–8.871.63–5.636.08–14.50safer3.87–9.441.10–6.174.97–15.61
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.5640.18safe53.77–67.3533.40–46.97safer52.10–69.0231.73–48.64
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction521316836safe453–588249–382703–970safer435–606232–400667–1006
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction74.0966.20safe70.06–78.1261.88–70.53safer68.77–79.4260.57–71.84
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0712.6522.72safe7.23–12.919.70–15.5916.94–28.50safer6.48–13.668.96–16.3415.43–30.01
Offsides
19%
15%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.973.435.39safe0.81–3.132.33–4.523.14–7.65safer0.50–3.432.05–4.812.55–8.24
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.293.72safe0.38–2.481.16–3.421.54–5.90safer0.12–2.750.87–3.710.99–6.46
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.053.445.49safe0.61–3.481.88–5.002.50–8.48safer0.23–3.871.46–5.421.68–9.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 0.93 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.56 3.70–7.42 3.21–7.91 | 3.11 1.37–4.85 0.90–5.32 | 8.67 5.06–12.27 4.11–13.23 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 15.11 11.19–19.04 10.10–20.13 | 8.91 5.35–12.47 4.39–13.43 | 24.02 16.54–31.51 14.49–33.56 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.57 7.62–13.51 6.79–14.34 | 6.47 3.79–9.15 3.05–9.89 | 17.04 11.41–22.66 9.85–24.23 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.67–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.03 0.37–3.68 0.00–4.17 | 6.58 3.04–10.11 2.01–11.15 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.66 4.44–8.87 3.87–9.44 | 3.63 1.63–5.63 1.10–6.17 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 60.56 53.77–67.35 52.10–69.02 | 40.18 33.40–46.97 31.73–48.64 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 521 453–588 435–606 | 316 249–382 232–400 | 836 703–970 667–1006 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.09 70.06–78.12 68.77–79.42 | 66.20 61.88–70.53 60.57–71.84 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.07 7.23–12.91 6.48–13.66 | 12.65 9.70–15.59 8.96–16.34 | 22.72 16.94–28.50 15.43–30.01 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.50–3.43 | 3.43 2.33–4.52 2.05–4.81 | 5.39 3.14–7.65 2.55–8.24 | 19% 15% 66% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.05 0.61–3.48 0.23–3.87 | 3.44 1.88–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 5.49 2.50–8.48 1.68–9.29 | 21% 15% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+