Championship·Regular Season - 14·
Championship·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.372.62safe0.29–2.230.51–2.220.80–4.45safer0.04–2.480.28–2.450.32–4.93
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.658.86safe2.35–6.082.90–6.395.25–12.46safer1.86–6.572.44–6.854.30–13.42
Total shots
55%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3712.2825.65safe9.45–17.308.72–15.8418.17–33.14safer8.36–18.397.76–16.8016.11–35.19
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.577.9516.52safe5.62–11.515.27–10.6310.90–22.14safer4.79–12.344.53–11.379.33–23.71
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.743.607.34safe1.86–5.621.94–5.253.80–10.87safer1.31–6.161.45–5.742.76–11.91
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.7310.18safe3.24–7.662.73–6.735.96–14.39safer2.66–8.242.20–7.264.86–15.50
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction41.5759.19safe34.78–48.3652.41–65.98safer33.11–50.0350.73–67.65
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction385545930safe318–452478–611796–1064safer300–470461–629761–1099
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction68.7677.33safe64.73–72.7973.00–81.65safer63.44–74.0871.70–82.96
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5910.7022.29safe8.75–14.437.76–13.6516.51–28.08safer8.00–15.187.01–14.4015.01–29.58
Offsides
51%
18%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.164.91safe1.60–3.921.06–3.252.66–7.17safer1.30–4.220.78–3.542.07–7.76
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.883.58safe0.65–2.750.75–3.011.40–5.76safer0.38–3.020.46–3.300.84–6.32
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.815.67safe1.42–4.301.25–4.362.67–8.66safer1.04–4.680.83–4.791.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 34% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 4.65 2.90–6.39 2.44–6.85 | 8.86 5.25–12.46 4.30–13.42 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.37 9.45–17.30 8.36–18.39 | 12.28 8.72–15.84 7.76–16.80 | 25.65 18.17–33.14 16.11–35.19 | 55% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.57 5.62–11.51 4.79–12.34 | 7.95 5.27–10.63 4.53–11.37 | 16.52 10.90–22.14 9.33–23.71 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.86–5.62 1.31–6.16 | 3.60 1.94–5.25 1.45–5.74 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.91 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.66 2.66–8.24 | 4.73 2.73–6.73 2.20–7.26 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 41.57 34.78–48.36 33.11–50.03 | 59.19 52.41–65.98 50.73–67.65 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 385 318–452 300–470 | 545 478–611 461–629 | 930 796–1064 761–1099 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.76 64.73–72.79 63.44–74.08 | 77.33 73.00–81.65 71.70–82.96 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.75–14.43 8.00–15.18 | 10.70 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.40 | 22.29 16.51–28.08 15.01–29.58 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.76 1.60–3.92 1.30–4.22 | 2.16 1.06–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 4.91 2.66–7.17 2.07–7.76 | 51% 18% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.02 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.32 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.30 1.04–4.68 | 2.81 1.25–4.36 0.83–4.79 | 5.67 2.67–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.