Championship·Regular Season - 28·
Championship·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.222.85safe0.66–2.600.36–2.071.02–4.67safer0.41–2.850.13–2.300.55–5.15
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.578.62safe3.19–6.911.83–5.325.02–12.23safer2.70–7.401.37–5.784.06–13.19
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5511.0325.58safe10.63–18.487.47–14.5918.09–33.07safer9.54–19.576.51–15.5516.04–35.12
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.557.5817.13safe6.60–12.494.90–10.2611.50–22.75safer5.77–13.324.16–11.009.94–24.32
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.232.867.09safe2.35–6.111.21–4.513.55–10.62safer1.81–6.660.71–5.002.52–11.66
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.1410.03safe3.67–8.102.14–6.145.82–14.24safer3.10–8.671.61–6.684.71–15.35
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.2640.06safe53.47–67.0533.28–46.85safer51.80–68.7231.60–48.52
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction578349927safe511–646283–416794–1061safer493–664265–433758–1097
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction77.1970.73safe73.16–81.2266.41–75.06safer71.87–82.5165.10–76.37
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8012.2623.06safe7.96–13.639.32–15.2117.28–28.84safer7.20–14.398.57–15.9615.77–30.34
Offsides
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.955.15safe1.03–3.361.86–4.052.90–7.40safer0.73–3.661.57–4.342.31–7.99
Yellow cards
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.833.40safe0.52–2.620.70–2.961.22–5.58safer0.25–2.880.41–3.250.66–6.13
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.253.195.44safe0.81–3.681.63–4.752.44–8.43safer0.42–4.071.21–5.171.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.13–2.30 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 47% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.19–6.91 2.70–7.40 | 3.57 1.83–5.32 1.37–5.78 | 8.62 5.02–12.23 4.06–13.19 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.57 | 11.03 7.47–14.59 6.51–15.55 | 25.58 18.09–33.07 16.04–35.12 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.60–12.49 5.77–13.32 | 7.58 4.90–10.26 4.16–11.00 | 17.13 11.50–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.81–6.66 | 2.86 1.21–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.68 | 10.03 5.82–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 60.26 53.47–67.05 51.80–68.72 | 40.06 33.28–46.85 31.60–48.52 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 578 511–646 493–664 | 349 283–416 265–433 | 927 794–1061 758–1097 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.19 73.16–81.22 71.87–82.51 | 70.73 66.41–75.06 65.10–76.37 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.80 7.96–13.63 7.20–14.39 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 23.06 17.28–28.84 15.77–30.34 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.03–3.36 0.73–3.66 | 2.95 1.86–4.05 1.57–4.34 | 5.15 2.90–7.40 2.31–7.99 | 29% 17% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.13 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 3.19 1.63–4.75 1.21–5.17 | 5.44 2.44–8.43 1.63–9.24 | 26% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+