Championship·Regular Season - 14·
Championship·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.172.63safe0.49–2.430.31–2.020.80–4.45safer0.24–2.680.08–2.250.33–4.93
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.668.12safe2.59–6.321.92–5.404.51–11.72safer2.10–6.811.45–5.873.56–12.68
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9110.8324.74safe9.99–17.847.26–14.3917.25–32.23safer8.90–18.936.31–15.3515.20–34.28
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.336.9916.32safe6.39–12.284.31–9.6710.70–21.95safer5.56–13.113.57–10.419.13–23.51
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.172.786.96safe2.29–6.061.13–4.443.42–10.49safer1.75–6.600.64–4.932.39–11.53
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.924.6110.54safe3.71–8.142.61–6.616.32–14.75safer3.14–8.712.08–7.155.22–15.86
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.4751.54safe41.68–55.2644.75–58.32safer40.01–56.9343.08–59.99
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction380420800safe313–447354–487667–934safer295–466336–504631–970
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction64.8368.62safe60.80–68.8664.30–72.95safer59.51–70.1662.99–74.26
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5912.5124.10safe8.75–14.439.56–15.4518.32–29.88safer8.00–15.198.81–16.2016.81–31.39
Offsides
25%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.744.55safe0.65–2.971.65–3.832.30–6.80safer0.35–3.271.36–4.121.71–7.39
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.962.144.10safe0.91–3.011.01–3.261.92–6.28safer0.65–3.280.72–3.561.36–6.83
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
29%
17%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.035.30safe0.83–3.701.48–4.592.31–8.29safer0.44–4.091.05–5.011.49–9.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.59–6.32 2.10–6.81 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 8.12 4.51–11.72 3.56–12.68 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.99–17.84 8.90–18.93 | 10.83 7.26–14.39 6.31–15.35 | 24.74 17.25–32.23 15.20–34.28 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.33 6.39–12.28 5.56–13.11 | 6.99 4.31–9.67 3.57–10.41 | 16.32 10.70–21.95 9.13–23.51 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 2.78 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.96 3.42–10.49 2.39–11.53 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.14 3.14–8.71 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 48.47 41.68–55.26 40.01–56.93 | 51.54 44.75–58.32 43.08–59.99 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 380 313–447 295–466 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 800 667–934 631–970 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.83 60.80–68.86 59.51–70.16 | 68.62 64.30–72.95 62.99–74.26 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.59 8.75–14.43 8.00–15.19 | 12.51 9.56–15.45 8.81–16.20 | 24.10 18.32–29.88 16.81–31.39 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 2.74 1.65–3.83 1.36–4.12 | 4.55 2.30–6.80 1.71–7.39 | 25% 18% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 2.14 1.01–3.26 0.72–3.56 | 4.10 1.92–6.28 1.36–6.83 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.03 1.48–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 5.30 2.31–8.29 1.49–9.10 | 29% 17% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+