Championship·Regular Season - 28·
Championship·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.322.52safe0.23–2.170.46–2.170.69–4.34safer0.00–2.420.23–2.400.21–4.82
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.887.89safe2.15–5.882.14–5.624.29–11.50safer1.66–6.371.67–6.093.33–12.45
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6112.3524.96safe8.69–16.548.79–15.9117.47–32.45safer7.60–17.637.83–16.8715.42–34.50
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.388.1216.50safe5.44–11.335.44–10.8010.88–22.12safer4.61–12.164.70–11.539.31–23.69
Blocked shots
39%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.947.59safe1.77–5.532.29–5.604.06–11.13safer1.23–6.081.80–6.093.02–12.16
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.629.93safe3.09–7.522.62–6.625.72–14.14safer2.52–8.092.09–7.164.61–15.25
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.9145.81safe47.12–60.7039.03–52.60safer45.45–62.3737.36–54.27
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction465368833safe398–532301–434699–966safer380–550284–452663–1002
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction66.3466.66safe62.31–70.3662.33–70.98safer61.01–71.6661.02–72.29
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0812.2423.32safe8.24–13.929.29–15.1817.53–29.10safer7.48–14.678.54–15.9316.03–30.60
Offsides
55%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.774.30safe1.37–3.700.68–2.862.05–6.56safer1.07–4.000.39–3.151.46–7.15
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.033.84safe0.76–2.860.90–3.161.67–6.02safer0.50–3.130.61–3.451.11–6.58
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
38%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.805.41safe1.17–4.041.25–4.362.41–8.40safer0.78–4.430.82–4.781.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.23–2.40 | 2.52 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.37 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 7.89 4.29–11.50 3.33–12.45 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.61 8.69–16.54 7.60–17.63 | 12.35 8.79–15.91 7.83–16.87 | 24.96 17.47–32.45 15.42–34.50 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.44–11.33 4.61–12.16 | 8.12 5.44–10.80 4.70–11.53 | 16.50 10.88–22.12 9.31–23.69 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.53 1.23–6.08 | 3.94 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.09–7.16 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 53.91 47.12–60.70 45.45–62.37 | 45.81 39.03–52.60 37.36–54.27 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 465 398–532 380–550 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 833 699–966 663–1002 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.34 62.31–70.36 61.01–71.66 | 66.66 62.33–70.98 61.02–72.29 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.48–14.67 | 12.24 9.29–15.18 8.54–15.93 | 23.32 17.53–29.10 16.03–30.60 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.54 1.37–3.70 1.07–4.00 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 4.30 2.05–6.56 1.46–7.15 | 55% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.84 1.67–6.02 1.11–6.58 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 2.80 1.25–4.36 0.82–4.78 | 5.41 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 38% 18% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+