Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.052.78safe0.76–2.700.20–1.910.96–4.61safer0.51–2.950.00–2.140.48–5.09
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.039.36safe3.47–7.192.29–5.775.76–12.97safer2.98–7.681.82–6.244.80–13.92
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2311.6627.90safe12.31–20.168.10–15.2320.41–35.38safer11.22–21.257.14–16.1818.36–37.43
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.957.4717.41safe7.00–12.894.79–10.1511.79–23.04safer6.17–13.724.05–10.8810.22–24.60
Blocked shots
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.047.65safe2.73–6.501.38–4.694.11–11.19safer2.19–7.040.89–5.183.08–12.22
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.944.1910.13safe3.72–8.152.19–6.195.92–14.35safer3.15–8.721.66–6.734.81–15.45
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction58.8741.27safe52.08–65.6634.48–48.05safer50.41–67.3332.81–49.72
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction507335842safe440–575269–401709–976safer422–593251–419673–1012
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction70.7667.27safe66.73–74.7862.95–71.60safer65.43–76.0861.64–72.90
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4611.4222.89safe8.62–14.308.48–14.3717.10–28.67safer7.87–15.057.73–15.1215.60–30.17
Offsides
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.983.35safe0.20–2.530.89–3.081.09–5.60safer0.00–2.830.60–3.360.50–6.19
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.083.91safe0.78–2.880.95–3.211.73–6.09safer0.52–3.150.66–3.501.18–6.65
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.325.97safe1.21–4.081.77–4.882.97–8.96safer0.82–4.471.34–5.302.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.78 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.33 3.47–7.19 2.98–7.68 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.92 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 16.23 12.31–20.16 11.22–21.25 | 11.66 8.10–15.23 7.14–16.18 | 27.90 20.41–35.38 18.36–37.43 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.95 7.00–12.89 6.17–13.72 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.05–10.88 | 17.41 11.79–23.04 10.22–24.60 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.50 2.19–7.04 | 3.04 1.38–4.69 0.89–5.18 | 7.65 4.11–11.19 3.08–12.22 | 65% 22% |
| Corners | 5.94 3.72–8.15 3.15–8.72 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.73 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 58.87 52.08–65.66 50.41–67.33 | 41.27 34.48–48.05 32.81–49.72 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 507 440–575 422–593 | 335 269–401 251–419 | 842 709–976 673–1012 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.76 66.73–74.78 65.43–76.08 | 67.27 62.95–71.60 61.64–72.90 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 11.46 8.62–14.30 7.87–15.05 | 11.42 8.48–14.37 7.73–15.12 | 22.89 17.10–28.67 15.60–30.17 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.98 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.36 | 3.35 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.32 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 5.97 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+