Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.642.84safe0.23–2.170.78–2.491.02–4.66safer0.00–2.420.56–2.720.54–5.14
Shots on target
37%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.678.88safe2.35–6.082.92–6.415.28–12.49safer1.86–6.572.46–6.874.32–13.44
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7314.7028.43safe9.80–17.6511.14–18.2720.94–35.92safer8.71–18.7410.18–19.2218.89–37.97
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.928.9617.87safe5.97–11.866.27–11.6412.25–23.49safer5.14–12.695.54–12.3710.68–25.06
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.754.187.93safe1.86–5.632.53–5.844.39–11.47safer1.32–6.172.04–6.333.36–12.50
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.605.6910.29safe2.39–6.813.69–7.696.07–14.50safer1.81–7.393.15–8.224.97–15.61
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.4357.45safe35.64–49.2250.66–64.23safer33.97–50.8948.99–65.91
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction356476831safe289–423409–542698–965safer271–441392–560662–1001
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction63.2873.70safe59.25–67.3169.38–78.03safer57.96–68.6168.07–79.34
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9911.6022.58safe8.15–13.828.65–14.5416.80–28.36safer7.39–14.587.90–15.2915.29–29.87
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.283.22safe0.77–3.090.19–2.370.96–5.47safer0.47–3.400.00–2.660.37–6.06
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.823.88safe1.00–3.100.69–2.951.70–6.05safer0.74–3.370.40–3.241.14–6.61
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.026.08safe1.62–4.491.47–4.583.08–9.07safer1.23–4.881.04–5.002.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.64 0.78–2.49 0.56–2.72 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 4.67 2.92–6.41 2.46–6.87 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 37% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 13.73 9.80–17.65 8.71–18.74 | 14.70 11.14–18.27 10.18–19.22 | 28.43 20.94–35.92 18.89–37.97 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.92 5.97–11.86 5.14–12.69 | 8.96 6.27–11.64 5.54–12.37 | 17.87 12.25–23.49 10.68–25.06 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.86–5.63 1.32–6.17 | 4.18 2.53–5.84 2.04–6.33 | 7.93 4.39–11.47 3.36–12.50 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.60 2.39–6.81 1.81–7.39 | 5.69 3.69–7.69 3.15–8.22 | 10.29 6.07–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 42.43 35.64–49.22 33.97–50.89 | 57.45 50.66–64.23 48.99–65.91 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 356 289–423 271–441 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 831 698–965 662–1001 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.28 59.25–67.31 57.96–68.61 | 73.70 69.38–78.03 68.07–79.34 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 11.60 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 22.58 16.80–28.36 15.29–29.87 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.40 | 1.28 0.19–2.37 0.00–2.66 | 3.22 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.88 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.05 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 6.08 3.08–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+