Championship·Regular Season - 14·
Championship·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.442.80safe0.39–2.320.59–2.300.97–4.62safer0.13–2.570.36–2.530.49–5.10
Shots on target
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.894.449.32safe3.02–6.752.69–6.185.72–12.93safer2.53–7.242.23–6.644.76–13.88
Total shots
69%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8011.7826.58safe10.87–18.728.22–15.3419.09–34.07safer9.78–19.827.26–16.3017.04–36.12
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.318.1917.50safe6.36–12.255.51–10.8711.87–23.12safer5.53–13.084.77–11.6110.31–24.69
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.287.38safe2.22–5.991.62–4.933.85–10.92safer1.68–6.531.13–5.422.81–11.95
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.255.0710.32safe3.04–7.473.07–7.076.11–14.53safer2.47–8.042.53–7.605.00–15.64
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.6552.66safe40.86–54.4445.87–59.44safer39.19–56.1144.20–61.11
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction430486916safe363–497420–553782–1050safer344–515402–570746–1085
Pass accuracy %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction74.0676.83safe70.03–78.0972.51–81.15safer68.74–79.3871.20–82.46
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0712.9724.04safe8.23–13.9110.02–15.9118.26–29.82safer7.48–14.679.28–16.6616.75–31.33
Offsides
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.133.76safe0.47–2.801.04–3.221.51–6.02safer0.17–3.100.75–3.510.92–6.61
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.234.18safe0.90–3.001.10–3.362.00–6.36safer0.63–3.260.81–3.651.45–6.92
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.215.96safe1.32–4.191.65–4.762.97–8.96safer0.93–4.581.23–5.192.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.44 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 35% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.02–6.75 2.53–7.24 | 4.44 2.69–6.18 2.23–6.64 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.80 10.87–18.72 9.78–19.82 | 11.78 8.22–15.34 7.26–16.30 | 26.58 19.09–34.07 17.04–36.12 | 69% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.31 6.36–12.25 5.53–13.08 | 8.19 5.51–10.87 4.77–11.61 | 17.50 11.87–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.28 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.95 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 5.07 3.07–7.07 2.53–7.60 | 10.32 6.11–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.65 40.86–54.44 39.19–56.11 | 52.66 45.87–59.44 44.20–61.11 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 344–515 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 916 782–1050 746–1085 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.06 70.03–78.09 68.74–79.38 | 76.83 72.51–81.15 71.20–82.46 | — | 34% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.91 7.48–14.67 | 12.97 10.02–15.91 9.28–16.66 | 24.04 18.26–29.82 16.75–31.33 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.47–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 2.13 1.04–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 3.76 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.63–3.26 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.18 2.00–6.36 1.45–6.92 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.21 1.65–4.76 1.23–5.19 | 5.96 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.