Championship·Regular Season - 28·
Championship·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.072.71safe0.68–2.610.22–1.920.89–4.54safer0.42–2.860.00–2.150.41–5.02
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.858.83safe3.12–6.852.11–5.595.23–12.44safer2.63–7.341.64–6.064.27–13.39
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1911.8826.07safe10.27–18.118.31–15.4418.58–33.55safer9.17–19.217.35–16.4016.53–35.60
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.058.1018.15safe7.11–12.995.42–10.7812.53–23.77safer6.28–13.824.68–11.5210.96–25.34
Blocked shots
44%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.184.078.24safe2.29–6.062.42–5.724.71–11.78safer1.75–6.601.92–6.213.67–12.81
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.1910.05safe3.65–8.072.19–6.195.84–14.27safer3.07–8.651.66–6.724.73–15.37
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.9447.71safe46.15–59.7340.93–54.50safer44.48–61.4039.26–56.17
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction505444948safe437–572377–510814–1082safer419–590360–528779–1118
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction75.1277.25safe71.09–79.1572.93–81.58safer69.80–80.4471.62–82.89
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6511.6924.34safe9.81–15.498.75–14.6418.56–30.13safer9.06–16.258.00–15.3817.06–31.63
Offsides
55%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.313.38safe0.91–3.230.22–2.401.13–5.64safer0.61–3.530.00–2.690.54–6.23
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.103.86safe0.70–2.800.97–3.231.68–6.03safer0.44–3.070.68–3.521.12–6.59
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.075.86safe1.35–4.231.51–4.632.87–8.85safer0.97–4.611.09–5.052.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.68–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.07 0.22–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 51% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.85 2.63–7.34 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 8.83 5.23–12.44 4.27–13.39 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.19 10.27–18.11 9.17–19.21 | 11.88 8.31–15.44 7.35–16.40 | 26.07 18.58–33.55 16.53–35.60 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 10.05 7.11–12.99 6.28–13.82 | 8.10 5.42–10.78 4.68–11.52 | 18.15 12.53–23.77 10.96–25.34 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.29–6.06 1.75–6.60 | 4.07 2.42–5.72 1.92–6.21 | 8.24 4.71–11.78 3.67–12.81 | 44% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.65–8.07 3.07–8.65 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.72 | 10.05 5.84–14.27 4.73–15.37 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 52.94 46.15–59.73 44.48–61.40 | 47.71 40.93–54.50 39.26–56.17 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 505 437–572 419–590 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 948 814–1082 779–1118 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.12 71.09–79.15 69.80–80.44 | 77.25 72.93–81.58 71.62–82.89 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 12.65 9.81–15.49 9.06–16.25 | 11.69 8.75–14.64 8.00–15.38 | 24.34 18.56–30.13 17.06–31.63 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.38 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.23 | 55% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.86 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.23 0.97–4.61 | 3.07 1.51–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.