Championship·Regular Season - 14·
Championship·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.332.68safe0.38–2.310.48–2.190.86–4.50safer0.13–2.570.25–2.410.38–4.98
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.364.288.65safe2.50–6.232.54–6.025.04–12.25safer2.01–6.722.07–6.494.09–13.21
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5412.2224.77safe8.62–16.478.66–15.7917.28–32.26safer7.53–17.567.70–16.7515.23–34.31
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.148.7216.86safe5.20–11.086.04–11.4011.24–22.49safer4.37–11.915.30–12.149.67–24.05
Blocked shots
40%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.587.01safe1.55–5.321.93–5.233.48–10.55safer1.01–5.861.43–5.722.44–11.59
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.989.99safe2.80–7.222.98–6.985.78–14.21safer2.22–7.802.45–7.514.67–15.31
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.2552.34safe41.46–55.0445.56–59.13safer39.79–56.7143.89–60.80
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction416451867safe349–483385–517733–1000safer330–501367–535697–1036
Pass accuracy %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction64.3370.18safe60.30–68.3565.86–74.50safer59.00–69.6564.55–75.81
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8213.3725.19safe8.98–14.6610.42–16.3119.41–30.97safer8.23–15.429.67–17.0617.90–32.47
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.513.81safe1.13–3.450.42–2.601.55–6.06safer0.83–3.760.13–2.890.96–6.65
Yellow cards
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.144.01safe0.82–2.921.01–3.271.83–6.19safer0.56–3.190.72–3.561.28–6.75
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.075.77safe1.26–4.131.51–4.622.77–8.76safer0.87–4.521.09–5.051.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.57 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.41 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.23 2.01–6.72 | 4.28 2.54–6.02 2.07–6.49 | 8.65 5.04–12.25 4.09–13.21 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.54 8.62–16.47 7.53–17.56 | 12.22 8.66–15.79 7.70–16.75 | 24.77 17.28–32.26 15.23–34.31 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.14 5.20–11.08 4.37–11.91 | 8.72 6.04–11.40 5.30–12.14 | 16.86 11.24–22.49 9.67–24.05 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 3.58 1.93–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.01 3.48–10.55 2.44–11.59 | 40% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.22 2.22–7.80 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.45–7.51 | 9.99 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.31 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 48.25 41.46–55.04 39.79–56.71 | 52.34 45.56–59.13 43.89–60.80 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 330–501 | 451 385–517 367–535 | 867 733–1000 697–1036 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.33 60.30–68.35 59.00–69.65 | 70.18 65.86–74.50 64.55–75.81 | — | 21% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.82 8.98–14.66 8.23–15.42 | 13.37 10.42–16.31 9.67–17.06 | 25.19 19.41–30.97 17.90–32.47 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.29 1.13–3.45 0.83–3.76 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.28–6.75 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 36% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.