Championship·Regular Season - 28·
Championship·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.112.80safe0.72–2.660.25–1.960.98–4.62safer0.47–2.910.02–2.190.50–5.10
Shots on target
58%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.728.53safe2.94–6.671.98–5.474.93–12.14safer2.46–7.161.52–5.933.97–13.09
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9410.6825.62safe11.02–18.877.12–14.2418.14–33.11safer9.93–19.966.16–15.2016.08–35.16
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.847.1016.94safe6.90–12.784.42–9.7811.32–22.57safer6.07–13.613.68–10.529.75–24.13
Blocked shots
61%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.077.37safe2.42–6.181.41–4.723.83–10.90safer1.88–6.730.92–5.212.80–11.94
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.673.999.66safe3.45–7.881.99–5.995.45–13.87safer2.88–8.451.46–6.534.34–14.98
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction56.7143.33safe49.92–63.5036.55–50.12safer48.25–65.1734.88–51.79
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction482348830safe414–549282–415696–964safer396–567264–432661–999
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction69.3568.31safe65.32–73.3863.99–72.64safer64.02–74.6762.68–73.95
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9711.8125.78safe11.14–16.818.86–14.7520.00–31.56safer10.38–17.578.11–15.5018.49–33.07
Offsides
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.013.66safe0.49–2.810.92–3.101.41–5.91safer0.19–3.110.63–3.390.82–6.50
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.134.25safe1.07–3.171.00–3.262.07–6.43safer0.80–3.430.71–3.551.51–6.98
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.875.31safe1.00–3.871.32–4.432.32–8.30safer0.62–4.260.89–4.851.51–9.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.94–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 3.72 1.98–5.47 1.52–5.93 | 8.53 4.93–12.14 3.97–13.09 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.94 11.02–18.87 9.93–19.96 | 10.68 7.12–14.24 6.16–15.20 | 25.62 18.14–33.11 16.08–35.16 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.84 6.90–12.78 6.07–13.61 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.52 | 16.94 11.32–22.57 9.75–24.13 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.42–6.18 1.88–6.73 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.37 3.83–10.90 2.80–11.94 | 61% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.45–7.88 2.88–8.45 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.53 | 9.66 5.45–13.87 4.34–14.98 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.71 49.92–63.50 48.25–65.17 | 43.33 36.55–50.12 34.88–51.79 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 482 414–549 396–567 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 830 696–964 661–999 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.35 65.32–73.38 64.02–74.67 | 68.31 63.99–72.64 62.68–73.95 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 13.97 11.14–16.81 10.38–17.57 | 11.81 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.50 | 25.78 20.00–31.56 18.49–33.07 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.66 1.41–5.91 0.82–6.50 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.43 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.51–6.98 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.62–4.26 | 2.87 1.32–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 5.31 2.32–8.30 1.51–9.12 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.