Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.533.09safe0.60–2.530.68–2.381.27–4.92safer0.34–2.780.45–2.610.79–5.40
Shots on target
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.609.60safe3.14–6.872.85–6.346.00–13.21safer2.65–7.362.39–6.815.04–14.16
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5912.7928.39safe11.67–19.529.23–16.3520.90–35.87safer10.58–20.618.27–17.3118.85–37.92
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.538.5818.11safe6.58–12.475.90–11.2612.49–23.73safer5.75–13.305.16–12.0010.92–25.30
Blocked shots
59%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.317.79safe2.59–6.361.66–4.964.25–11.32safer2.05–6.901.17–5.463.22–12.36
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.5010.31safe3.59–8.022.50–6.506.10–14.52safer3.02–8.591.97–7.044.99–15.63
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.1448.17safe45.35–58.9341.38–54.95safer43.68–60.6039.71–56.63
Passes
66%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction473422895safe406–540356–489762–1029safer388–558338–506726–1065
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction73.5172.55safe69.49–77.5468.23–76.88safer68.19–78.8466.92–78.19
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3012.7924.08safe8.46–14.139.84–15.7318.30–29.86safer7.70–14.899.09–16.4816.79–31.37
Offsides
24%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.814.62safe0.65–2.971.72–3.912.37–6.87safer0.34–3.271.43–4.201.78–7.46
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.143.99safe0.80–2.901.01–3.271.81–6.17safer0.54–3.170.72–3.561.26–6.73
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.526.38safe1.43–4.301.96–5.073.39–9.38safer1.04–4.691.54–5.502.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.60–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.53 0.68–2.38 0.45–2.61 | 3.09 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.01 3.14–6.87 2.65–7.36 | 4.60 2.85–6.34 2.39–6.81 | 9.60 6.00–13.21 5.04–14.16 | 49% 38% |
| Total shots | 15.59 11.67–19.52 10.58–20.61 | 12.79 9.23–16.35 8.27–17.31 | 28.39 20.90–35.87 18.85–37.92 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.53 6.58–12.47 5.75–13.30 | 8.58 5.90–11.26 5.16–12.00 | 18.11 12.49–23.73 10.92–25.30 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.48 2.59–6.36 2.05–6.90 | 3.31 1.66–4.96 1.17–5.46 | 7.79 4.25–11.32 3.22–12.36 | 59% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.59–8.02 3.02–8.59 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.97–7.04 | 10.31 6.10–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.14 45.35–58.93 43.68–60.60 | 48.17 41.38–54.95 39.71–56.63 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 473 406–540 388–558 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 66% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.51 69.49–77.54 68.19–78.84 | 72.55 68.23–76.88 66.92–78.19 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.13 7.70–14.89 | 12.79 9.84–15.73 9.09–16.48 | 24.08 18.30–29.86 16.79–31.37 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.34–3.27 | 2.81 1.72–3.91 1.43–4.20 | 4.62 2.37–6.87 1.78–7.46 | 24% 17% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.52 1.96–5.07 1.54–5.50 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.