Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.243.20safe0.99–2.930.38–2.091.38–5.02safer0.74–3.180.15–2.320.90–5.50
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.349.76safe3.56–7.282.60–6.096.16–13.37safer3.07–7.772.14–6.555.20–14.33
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4212.8228.24safe11.50–19.359.26–16.3920.76–35.73safer10.40–20.448.30–17.3418.71–37.78
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction10.738.2118.94safe7.79–13.685.53–10.8913.32–24.57safer6.96–14.514.79–11.6311.75–26.13
Blocked shots
41%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.994.118.10safe2.11–5.872.45–5.764.56–11.63safer1.56–6.421.96–6.253.53–12.67
Corners
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.964.4910.44safe3.75–8.172.49–6.496.23–14.66safer3.17–8.751.95–7.025.12–15.77
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction50.2350.29safe43.44–57.0243.50–57.07safer41.77–58.6941.83–58.75
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction479459938safe412–547392–525805–1072safer394–565375–543769–1108
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction71.3375.94safe67.30–75.3671.62–80.26safer66.01–76.6570.31–81.57
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1911.0823.27safe9.35–15.038.13–14.0217.49–29.05safer8.60–15.787.39–14.7715.98–30.56
Offsides
64%
16%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.881.584.46safe1.72–4.040.49–2.672.20–6.71safer1.42–4.340.20–2.961.61–7.30
Yellow cards
32%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.883.43safe0.51–2.610.75–3.011.26–5.61safer0.24–2.870.46–3.300.70–6.17
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.526.53safe1.57–4.441.96–5.083.54–9.52safer1.18–4.831.54–5.502.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.28 3.07–7.77 | 4.34 2.60–6.09 2.14–6.55 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.33 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.42 11.50–19.35 10.40–20.44 | 12.82 9.26–16.39 8.30–17.34 | 28.24 20.76–35.73 18.71–37.78 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 10.73 7.79–13.68 6.96–14.51 | 8.21 5.53–10.89 4.79–11.63 | 18.94 13.32–24.57 11.75–26.13 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.56–6.42 | 4.11 2.45–5.76 1.96–6.25 | 8.10 4.56–11.63 3.53–12.67 | 41% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.75–8.17 3.17–8.75 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.95–7.02 | 10.44 6.23–14.66 5.12–15.77 | 62% 27% |
| Possession % | 50.23 43.44–57.02 41.77–58.69 | 50.29 43.50–57.07 41.83–58.75 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 479 412–547 394–565 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 938 805–1072 769–1108 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.33 67.30–75.36 66.01–76.65 | 75.94 71.62–80.26 70.31–81.57 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 12.19 9.35–15.03 8.60–15.78 | 11.08 8.13–14.02 7.39–14.77 | 23.27 17.49–29.05 15.98–30.56 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.88 1.72–4.04 1.42–4.34 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 4.46 2.20–6.71 1.61–7.30 | 64% 16% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.43 1.26–5.61 0.70–6.17 | 32% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 3.52 1.96–5.08 1.54–5.50 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.72–10.33 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.