Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.252.55safe0.32–2.260.40–2.110.72–4.37safer0.07–2.510.17–2.340.24–4.85
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.818.01safe2.33–6.062.07–5.564.40–11.61safer1.84–6.551.61–6.023.45–12.57
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3511.7124.05safe8.42–16.278.15–15.2716.57–31.54safer7.33–17.367.19–16.2314.52–33.59
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.987.1216.09safe6.03–11.924.44–9.8010.47–21.72safer5.20–12.753.70–10.548.90–23.28
Blocked shots
38%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.556.83safe1.39–5.161.90–5.213.29–10.36safer0.85–5.701.41–5.702.26–11.40
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.9210.31safe3.18–7.612.92–6.926.10–14.53safer2.61–8.182.38–7.454.99–15.63
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.7754.92safe38.98–52.5648.14–61.71safer37.31–54.2346.47–63.38
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction361444805safe294–429377–510671–939safer276–447360–528636–974
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction62.5870.57safe58.55–66.6166.25–74.90safer57.26–67.9064.94–76.21
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7611.6623.42safe8.93–14.608.72–14.6117.64–29.21safer8.17–15.367.97–15.3516.14–30.71
Offsides
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.441.474.90safe2.28–4.600.38–2.562.65–7.16safer1.97–4.900.09–2.852.06–7.75
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.823.46safe0.58–2.680.70–2.951.28–5.64safer0.32–2.950.40–3.240.72–6.19
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.552.805.35safe1.11–3.991.24–4.352.35–8.34safer0.73–4.370.81–4.781.54–9.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.55 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 38% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.55 | 3.81 2.07–5.56 1.61–6.02 | 8.01 4.40–11.61 3.45–12.57 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.35 8.42–16.27 7.33–17.36 | 11.71 8.15–15.27 7.19–16.23 | 24.05 16.57–31.54 14.52–33.59 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.98 6.03–11.92 5.20–12.75 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 16.09 10.47–21.72 8.90–23.28 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 3.55 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.26–11.40 | 38% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.18–7.61 2.61–8.18 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.38–7.45 | 10.31 6.10–14.53 4.99–15.63 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 45.77 38.98–52.56 37.31–54.23 | 54.92 48.14–61.71 46.47–63.38 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 361 294–429 276–447 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 805 671–939 636–974 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.58 58.55–66.61 57.26–67.90 | 70.57 66.25–74.90 64.94–76.21 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.76 8.93–14.60 8.17–15.36 | 11.66 8.72–14.61 7.97–15.35 | 23.42 17.64–29.21 16.14–30.71 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 3.44 2.28–4.60 1.97–4.90 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 4.90 2.65–7.16 2.06–7.75 | 75% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.32–2.95 | 1.82 0.70–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.72–6.19 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.99 0.73–4.37 | 2.80 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.78 | 5.35 2.35–8.34 1.54–9.15 | 37% 18% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.