Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.032.39safe0.39–2.330.18–1.890.57–4.21safer0.14–2.580.00–2.110.09–4.69
Shots on target
57%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.487.94safe2.60–6.321.74–5.234.34–11.55safer2.11–6.811.28–5.693.38–12.50
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6910.8724.56safe9.77–17.627.31–14.4417.08–32.05safer8.67–18.716.35–15.4015.03–34.10
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.208.0416.24safe5.26–11.145.36–10.7210.62–21.86safer4.43–11.974.62–11.469.05–23.43
Blocked shots
66%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.932.396.31safe2.05–5.810.73–4.042.78–9.85safer1.50–6.350.24–4.531.74–10.89
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.504.8910.39safe3.28–7.712.89–6.896.18–14.60safer2.71–8.292.36–7.425.07–15.71
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.2742.27safe50.48–64.0635.48–49.05safer48.81–65.7333.81–50.72
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction465321786safe398–532254–387652–919safer380–550237–405616–955
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction66.4064.12safe62.37–70.4359.80–68.44safer61.07–71.7258.49–69.75
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3412.9824.32safe8.51–14.1810.03–15.9218.54–30.10safer7.75–14.949.29–16.6717.03–31.61
Offsides
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.503.925.42safe0.34–2.662.83–5.023.17–7.68safer0.04–2.962.54–5.302.58–8.26
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.933.38safe0.39–2.490.80–3.061.20–5.55safer0.13–2.760.51–3.350.64–6.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.045.56safe1.08–3.951.49–4.602.57–8.55safer0.69–4.341.06–5.021.76–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.11 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 44% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.32 2.11–6.81 | 3.48 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 7.94 4.34–11.55 3.38–12.50 | 57% 14% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.69 9.77–17.62 8.67–18.71 | 10.87 7.31–14.44 6.35–15.40 | 24.56 17.08–32.05 15.03–34.10 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.20 5.26–11.14 4.43–11.97 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 16.24 10.62–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 2.39 0.73–4.04 0.24–4.53 | 6.31 2.78–9.85 1.74–10.89 | 66% 14% 20% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.29 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.42 | 10.39 6.18–14.60 5.07–15.71 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 57.27 50.48–64.06 48.81–65.73 | 42.27 35.48–49.05 33.81–50.72 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 465 398–532 380–550 | 321 254–387 237–405 | 786 652–919 616–955 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.40 62.37–70.43 61.07–71.72 | 64.12 59.80–68.44 58.49–69.75 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.51–14.18 7.75–14.94 | 12.98 10.03–15.92 9.29–16.67 | 24.32 18.54–30.10 17.03–31.61 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 3.92 2.83–5.02 2.54–5.30 | 5.42 3.17–7.68 2.58–8.26 | 80% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.38 1.20–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.76–9.36 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+