Championship·Regular Season - 14·
Championship·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
27%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.392.47safe0.11–2.040.53–2.240.64–4.29safer0.00–2.300.31–2.470.16–4.77
Shots on target
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.804.488.29safe1.94–5.672.74–6.224.68–11.89safer1.45–6.162.27–6.693.73–12.85
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6013.0324.63safe7.67–15.529.47–16.6017.14–32.12safer6.58–16.618.51–17.5615.09–34.17
Shots in box
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.188.7516.93safe5.24–11.126.07–11.4311.31–22.55safer4.41–11.955.33–12.179.74–24.12
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.284.247.52safe1.39–5.162.59–5.903.98–11.06safer0.85–5.702.10–6.392.95–12.09
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.845.2410.08safe2.63–7.063.24–7.245.87–14.30safer2.06–7.632.71–7.774.76–15.41
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.8858.78safe35.09–48.6751.99–65.56safer33.42–50.3450.32–67.24
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction391545936safe324–459478–611803–1070safer306–477461–629767–1106
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.3577.55safe62.32–70.3873.22–81.87safer61.03–71.6771.91–83.18
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction10.849.9320.77safe8.00–13.676.99–12.8814.99–26.55safer7.24–14.436.24–13.6313.48–28.05
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.713.46safe0.60–2.920.61–2.801.21–5.72safer0.30–3.220.32–3.090.62–6.31
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.793.45safe0.61–2.700.66–2.921.27–5.63safer0.34–2.970.37–3.210.71–6.18
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.060.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
50%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.615.71safe1.67–4.541.06–4.172.72–8.71safer1.28–4.930.63–4.591.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.30 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.31–2.47 | 2.47 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 29% 27% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.94–5.67 1.45–6.16 | 4.48 2.74–6.22 2.27–6.69 | 8.29 4.68–11.89 3.73–12.85 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total shots | 11.60 7.67–15.52 6.58–16.61 | 13.03 9.47–16.60 8.51–17.56 | 24.63 17.14–32.12 15.09–34.17 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.18 5.24–11.12 4.41–11.95 | 8.75 6.07–11.43 5.33–12.17 | 16.93 11.31–22.55 9.74–24.12 | 40% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 4.24 2.59–5.90 2.10–6.39 | 7.52 3.98–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.84 2.63–7.06 2.06–7.63 | 5.24 3.24–7.24 2.71–7.77 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.41 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 41.88 35.09–48.67 33.42–50.34 | 58.78 51.99–65.56 50.32–67.24 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 391 324–459 306–477 | 545 478–611 461–629 | 936 803–1070 767–1106 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.35 62.32–70.38 61.03–71.67 | 77.55 73.22–81.87 71.91–83.18 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.84 8.00–13.67 7.24–14.43 | 9.93 6.99–12.88 6.24–13.63 | 20.77 14.99–26.55 13.48–28.05 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.61–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.18 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.67–4.54 1.28–4.93 | 2.61 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.59 | 5.71 2.72–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 50% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.