Championship·Regular Season - 28·
Championship·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.670.982.64safe0.70–2.630.12–1.830.82–4.47safer0.45–2.890.00–2.060.34–4.95
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.358.47safe3.27–6.991.60–5.094.87–12.08safer2.78–7.481.14–5.563.91–13.04
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.329.5024.82safe11.40–19.245.93–13.0617.33–32.30safer10.30–20.344.98–14.0215.28–34.36
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.617.2216.83safe6.67–12.564.54–9.9011.21–22.45safer5.84–13.383.80–10.649.64–24.02
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.952.967.91safe3.07–6.831.31–4.614.37–11.45safer2.53–7.380.81–5.103.34–12.48
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.9510.19safe4.03–8.461.95–5.955.98–14.41safer3.46–9.041.41–6.484.87–15.52
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1539.78safe53.36–66.9433.00–46.57safer51.69–68.6131.33–48.24
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction582382965safe515–650316–449831–1098safer497–668298–466795–1134
Pass accuracy %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction76.1969.12safe72.17–80.2264.79–73.44safer70.87–81.5263.48–74.75
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9510.9820.93safe7.12–12.798.03–13.9215.15–26.71safer6.36–13.557.28–14.6713.64–28.22
Offsides
39%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.713.42safe0.56–2.880.61–2.801.17–5.68safer0.25–3.180.33–3.090.58–6.27
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.803.24safe0.40–2.490.67–2.931.06–5.42safer0.13–2.760.38–3.220.51–5.98
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.275.55safe0.85–3.721.72–4.832.56–8.55safer0.46–4.111.29–5.251.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.63 0.45–2.89 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 54% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–6.99 2.78–7.48 | 3.35 1.60–5.09 1.14–5.56 | 8.47 4.87–12.08 3.91–13.04 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.32 11.40–19.24 10.30–20.34 | 9.50 5.93–13.06 4.98–14.02 | 24.82 17.33–32.30 15.28–34.36 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.61 6.67–12.56 5.84–13.38 | 7.22 4.54–9.90 3.80–10.64 | 16.83 11.21–22.45 9.64–24.02 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.95 3.07–6.83 2.53–7.38 | 2.96 1.31–4.61 0.81–5.10 | 7.91 4.37–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.03–8.46 3.46–9.04 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.41–6.48 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.52 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 60.15 53.36–66.94 51.69–68.61 | 39.78 33.00–46.57 31.33–48.24 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 582 515–650 497–668 | 382 316–449 298–466 | 965 831–1098 795–1134 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.19 72.17–80.22 70.87–81.52 | 69.12 64.79–73.44 63.48–74.75 | — | 80% 16% |
| Fouls | 9.95 7.12–12.79 6.36–13.55 | 10.98 8.03–13.92 7.28–14.67 | 20.93 15.15–26.71 13.64–28.22 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 39% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.40–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.24 1.06–5.42 0.51–5.98 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.55 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.