Championship·Regular Season - 15·
Championship·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.222.61safe0.42–2.350.37–2.080.79–4.43safer0.16–2.600.14–2.310.31–4.91
Shots on target
53%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.858.40safe2.69–6.422.10–5.594.79–12.00safer2.20–6.901.64–6.053.84–12.96
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6111.0424.65safe9.69–17.547.48–14.6117.17–32.14safer8.59–18.636.52–15.5615.12–34.19
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.687.5117.19safe6.73–12.624.83–10.1911.56–22.81safer5.90–13.454.09–10.9310.00–24.38
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.117.10safe2.10–5.861.46–4.773.56–10.63safer1.56–6.410.97–5.262.52–11.67
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.684.4410.12safe3.46–7.892.44–6.445.91–14.33safer2.89–8.471.91–6.974.80–15.44
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.8056.59safe37.01–50.5949.80–63.37safer35.34–52.2648.13–65.04
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction368506874safe301–435440–573740–1008safer282–453422–590705–1043
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction67.3274.37safe63.29–71.3570.05–78.70safer62.00–72.6468.74–80.01
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8611.0222.88safe9.03–14.708.07–13.9617.10–28.66safer8.27–15.467.32–14.7115.59–30.17
Offsides
46%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.365.03safe1.51–3.831.27–3.452.78–7.29safer1.21–4.130.98–3.742.19–7.88
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.963.74safe0.74–2.830.83–3.081.56–5.92safer0.47–3.100.54–3.381.00–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.105.58safe1.05–3.921.54–4.652.59–8.57safer0.66–4.311.12–5.081.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.69–6.42 2.20–6.90 | 3.85 2.10–5.59 1.64–6.05 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 53% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.61 9.69–17.54 8.59–18.63 | 11.04 7.48–14.61 6.52–15.56 | 24.65 17.17–32.14 15.12–34.19 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.68 6.73–12.62 5.90–13.45 | 7.51 4.83–10.19 4.09–10.93 | 17.19 11.56–22.81 10.00–24.38 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.56–6.41 | 3.11 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.67 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.47 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.97 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 43.80 37.01–50.59 35.34–52.26 | 56.59 49.80–63.37 48.13–65.04 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 282–453 | 506 440–573 422–590 | 874 740–1008 705–1043 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.32 63.29–71.35 62.00–72.64 | 74.37 70.05–78.70 68.74–80.01 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.03–14.70 8.27–15.46 | 11.02 8.07–13.96 7.32–14.71 | 22.88 17.10–28.66 15.59–30.17 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 2.67 1.51–3.83 1.21–4.13 | 2.36 1.27–3.45 0.98–3.74 | 5.03 2.78–7.29 2.19–7.88 | 46% 18% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.96 0.83–3.08 0.54–3.38 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.48 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 3.10 1.54–4.65 1.12–5.08 | 5.58 2.59–8.57 1.78–9.39 | 32% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.