Championship·Regular Season - 29·
Championship·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.292.77safe0.50–2.440.44–2.150.94–4.59safer0.25–2.690.21–2.380.46–5.07
Shots on target
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.334.068.39safe2.47–6.202.32–5.804.79–12.00safer1.98–6.681.85–6.273.83–12.95
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5512.1125.66safe9.63–17.488.54–15.6718.17–33.15safer8.54–18.577.58–16.6316.12–35.20
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.938.5517.47safe5.98–11.875.87–11.2311.85–23.10safer5.15–12.705.13–11.9710.28–24.66
Blocked shots
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.647.73safe2.21–5.971.99–5.294.19–11.27safer1.66–6.511.50–5.793.16–12.30
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.639.95safe3.10–7.532.63–6.635.73–14.16safer2.53–8.102.10–7.174.63–15.27
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.2840.74safe52.49–66.0733.95–47.52safer50.82–67.7432.28–49.19
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction545342887safe477–612276–409753–1020safer459–630258–426717–1056
Pass accuracy %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction73.2868.76safe69.25–77.3164.43–73.08safer67.96–78.6063.12–74.39
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6512.5423.18safe7.81–13.489.59–15.4817.40–28.97safer7.05–14.248.85–16.2315.90–30.47
Offsides
31%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.815.03safe1.05–3.371.72–3.912.77–7.28safer0.75–3.671.43–4.192.18–7.87
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.043.79safe0.71–2.800.91–3.171.62–5.97safer0.44–3.070.62–3.461.06–6.53
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.955.68safe1.29–4.161.40–4.512.68–8.67safer0.90–4.550.97–4.931.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.47 0.50–2.44 0.25–2.69 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.77 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 41% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.33 2.47–6.20 1.98–6.68 | 4.06 2.32–5.80 1.85–6.27 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.55 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 12.11 8.54–15.67 7.58–16.63 | 25.66 18.17–33.15 16.12–35.20 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.93 5.98–11.87 5.15–12.70 | 8.55 5.87–11.23 5.13–11.97 | 17.47 11.85–23.10 10.28–24.66 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.50–5.79 | 7.73 4.19–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.10–7.53 2.53–8.10 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.17 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 59.28 52.49–66.07 50.82–67.74 | 40.74 33.95–47.52 32.28–49.19 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 545 477–612 459–630 | 342 276–409 258–426 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.28 69.25–77.31 67.96–78.60 | 68.76 64.43–73.08 63.12–74.39 | — | 70% 26% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.48 7.05–14.24 | 12.54 9.59–15.48 8.85–16.23 | 23.18 17.40–28.97 15.90–30.47 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.67 | 2.81 1.72–3.91 1.43–4.19 | 5.03 2.77–7.28 2.18–7.87 | 31% 18% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.71–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.79 1.62–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.68 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.