Championship·Regular Season - 15·
Championship·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.552.81safe0.30–2.230.69–2.400.99–4.64safer0.05–2.480.47–2.630.51–5.12
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.254.468.71safe2.38–6.112.72–6.205.10–12.31safer1.89–6.602.25–6.674.15–13.27
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1212.6424.77safe8.20–16.059.08–16.2117.28–32.25safer7.10–17.148.12–17.1715.23–34.30
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.268.8717.13safe5.31–11.206.19–11.5511.50–22.75safer4.49–12.035.45–12.299.94–24.32
Blocked shots
31%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.224.047.26safe1.34–5.112.39–5.693.73–10.80safer0.80–5.651.90–6.192.69–11.84
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.235.3210.55safe3.02–7.453.32–7.326.34–14.76safer2.45–8.022.79–7.855.23–15.87
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.0854.66safe39.29–52.8747.88–61.45safer37.62–54.5446.21–63.12
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction399479878safe332–466413–546745–1012safer314–484395–563709–1048
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction61.4573.13safe57.42–65.4868.80–77.45safer56.13–66.7767.49–78.76
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4112.0623.47safe8.57–14.259.11–15.0017.69–29.25safer7.82–15.018.36–15.7516.18–30.75
Offsides
70%
14%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.471.755.22safe2.31–4.630.66–2.842.97–7.47safer2.01–4.930.37–3.132.38–8.06
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.133.89safe0.71–2.811.00–3.261.71–6.07safer0.44–3.080.71–3.551.15–6.62
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.915.54safe1.20–4.071.36–4.472.55–8.54safer0.81–4.460.93–4.891.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.55 0.69–2.40 0.47–2.63 | 2.81 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.25 2.38–6.11 1.89–6.60 | 4.46 2.72–6.20 2.25–6.67 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.12 8.20–16.05 7.10–17.14 | 12.64 9.08–16.21 8.12–17.17 | 24.77 17.28–32.25 15.23–34.30 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.26 5.31–11.20 4.49–12.03 | 8.87 6.19–11.55 5.45–12.29 | 17.13 11.50–22.75 9.94–24.32 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.22 1.34–5.11 0.80–5.65 | 4.04 2.39–5.69 1.90–6.19 | 7.26 3.73–10.80 2.69–11.84 | 31% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 5.32 3.32–7.32 2.79–7.85 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 46.08 39.29–52.87 37.62–54.54 | 54.66 47.88–61.45 46.21–63.12 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 399 332–466 314–484 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.45 57.42–65.48 56.13–66.77 | 73.13 68.80–77.45 67.49–78.76 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.41 8.57–14.25 7.82–15.01 | 12.06 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.75 | 23.47 17.69–29.25 16.18–30.75 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 3.47 2.31–4.63 2.01–4.93 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 5.22 2.97–7.47 2.38–8.06 | 70% 14% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.08 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 2.91 1.36–4.47 0.93–4.89 | 5.54 2.55–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+