Championship·Regular Season - 29·
Championship·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.163.14safe1.01–2.940.31–2.021.32–4.96safer0.75–3.190.08–2.250.84–5.44
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.393.709.09safe3.53–7.251.96–5.445.49–12.70safer3.04–7.741.49–5.914.53–13.65
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6410.4125.06safe10.72–18.576.85–13.9717.57–32.54safer9.63–19.665.89–14.9315.52–34.59
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.466.9017.36safe7.52–13.404.22–9.5811.73–22.98safer6.69–14.233.48–10.3110.17–24.55
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.292.646.93safe2.41–6.170.98–4.293.39–10.46safer1.87–6.720.49–4.782.36–11.50
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.463.8310.29safe4.24–8.671.83–5.836.07–14.50safer3.67–9.241.30–6.364.97–15.61
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction58.8742.05safe52.08–65.6635.27–48.84safer50.41–67.3333.60–50.51
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction518331849safe451–585265–398716–983safer433–603247–415680–1019
Pass accuracy %
73%
22%
homeawayprediction71.6366.26safe67.60–75.6661.94–70.59safer66.31–76.9560.63–71.90
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2110.7722.98safe9.37–15.057.83–13.7217.20–28.76safer8.62–15.807.08–14.4715.70–30.27
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.783.074.85safe0.62–2.941.98–4.162.59–7.10safer0.32–3.241.69–4.452.01–7.69
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.013.92safe0.85–2.950.89–3.141.74–6.10safer0.59–3.220.59–3.441.18–6.65
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
30%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.235.75safe1.09–3.961.67–4.792.76–8.75safer0.70–4.351.25–5.211.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.97 1.01–2.94 0.75–3.19 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 3.70 1.96–5.44 1.49–5.91 | 9.09 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.65 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.64 10.72–18.57 9.63–19.66 | 10.41 6.85–13.97 5.89–14.93 | 25.06 17.57–32.54 15.52–34.59 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.46 7.52–13.40 6.69–14.23 | 6.90 4.22–9.58 3.48–10.31 | 17.36 11.73–22.98 10.17–24.55 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.17 1.87–6.72 | 2.64 0.98–4.29 0.49–4.78 | 6.93 3.39–10.46 2.36–11.50 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.46 4.24–8.67 3.67–9.24 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.36 | 10.29 6.07–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 58.87 52.08–65.66 50.41–67.33 | 42.05 35.27–48.84 33.60–50.51 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 518 451–585 433–603 | 331 265–398 247–415 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.63 67.60–75.66 66.31–76.95 | 66.26 61.94–70.59 60.63–71.90 | — | 73% 22% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.05 8.62–15.80 | 10.77 7.83–13.72 7.08–14.47 | 22.98 17.20–28.76 15.70–30.27 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 3.07 1.98–4.16 1.69–4.45 | 4.85 2.59–7.10 2.01–7.69 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.01 0.89–3.14 0.59–3.44 | 3.92 1.74–6.10 1.18–6.65 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.23 1.67–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.75 2.76–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 30% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+