Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.342.93safe0.62–2.560.49–2.201.11–4.75safer0.37–2.810.26–2.430.63–5.23
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.479.43safe3.10–6.832.73–6.215.83–13.04safer2.61–7.322.26–6.684.87–13.99
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8612.3227.18safe10.93–18.788.76–15.8819.69–34.67safer9.84–19.877.80–16.8417.64–36.72
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.308.2917.59safe6.35–12.245.61–10.9711.97–23.21safer5.52–13.074.87–11.7110.40–24.78
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.662.986.64safe1.78–5.541.33–4.633.11–10.18safer1.24–6.090.84–5.132.07–11.21
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.404.519.91safe3.18–7.612.51–6.515.70–14.12safer2.61–8.181.98–7.054.59–15.23
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.7946.20safe47.00–60.5839.41–52.98safer45.33–62.2537.74–54.65
Passes
77%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction502412913safe435–569345–478780–1047safer416–587328–496744–1083
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction71.7070.48safe67.67–75.7366.16–74.80safer66.38–77.0264.85–76.11
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7112.3823.08safe7.87–13.549.43–15.3217.30–28.87safer7.11–14.308.69–16.0715.80–30.37
Offsides
42%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.712.685.39safe1.55–3.871.59–3.783.14–7.65safer1.25–4.171.30–4.062.55–8.24
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.174.14safe0.92–3.021.05–3.301.96–6.32safer0.65–3.280.75–3.591.41–6.88
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.396.25safe1.42–4.291.83–4.953.26–9.24safer1.03–4.681.41–5.372.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 43% 24% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 4.47 2.73–6.21 2.26–6.68 | 9.43 5.83–13.04 4.87–13.99 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.86 10.93–18.78 9.84–19.87 | 12.32 8.76–15.88 7.80–16.84 | 27.18 19.69–34.67 17.64–36.72 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.30 6.35–12.24 5.52–13.07 | 8.29 5.61–10.97 4.87–11.71 | 17.59 11.97–23.21 10.40–24.78 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.24–6.09 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.84–5.13 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.21 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.40 3.18–7.61 2.61–8.18 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.05 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.79 47.00–60.58 45.33–62.25 | 46.20 39.41–52.98 37.74–54.65 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 502 435–569 416–587 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 913 780–1047 744–1083 | 77% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.70 67.67–75.73 66.38–77.02 | 70.48 66.16–74.80 64.85–76.11 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.87–13.54 7.11–14.30 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.69–16.07 | 23.08 17.30–28.87 15.80–30.37 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.17 | 2.68 1.59–3.78 1.30–4.06 | 5.39 3.14–7.65 2.55–8.24 | 42% 18% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 2.17 1.05–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.39 1.83–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+