Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.363.05safe0.72–2.660.51–2.221.23–4.87safer0.47–2.910.28–2.450.75–5.35
Shots on target
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.114.499.60safe3.24–6.972.75–6.235.99–13.20safer2.75–7.462.28–6.705.04–14.16
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3812.4826.86safe10.46–18.308.92–16.0519.38–34.35safer9.36–19.407.96–17.0017.32–36.40
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.938.0617.99safe6.98–12.875.38–10.7412.37–23.61safer6.15–13.704.64–11.4810.80–25.18
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.857.46safe1.73–5.492.20–5.513.93–11.00safer1.19–6.041.71–6.002.89–12.04
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.479.86safe3.17–7.602.47–6.475.64–14.07safer2.60–8.171.94–7.004.54–15.18
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction49.0851.96safe42.29–55.8745.18–58.75safer40.62–57.5443.51–60.42
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction482484966safe415–549418–551832–1100safer397–567400–568797–1136
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction68.6774.34safe64.64–72.7070.02–78.67safer63.34–73.9968.71–79.98
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3810.3521.72safe8.54–14.227.40–13.2915.94–27.51safer7.79–14.976.65–14.0414.44–29.01
Offsides
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.545.26safe1.56–3.881.45–3.643.01–7.52safer1.26–4.181.16–3.932.42–8.11
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.893.62safe0.68–2.780.76–3.021.44–5.79safer0.41–3.040.47–3.310.88–6.35
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
35%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.296.16safe1.43–4.301.73–4.853.16–9.15safer1.04–4.691.31–5.272.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.24–6.97 2.75–7.46 | 4.49 2.75–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 9.60 5.99–13.20 5.04–14.16 | 51% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.38 10.46–18.30 9.36–19.40 | 12.48 8.92–16.05 7.96–17.00 | 26.86 19.38–34.35 17.32–36.40 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.93 6.98–12.87 6.15–13.70 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 17.99 12.37–23.61 10.80–25.18 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 3.85 2.20–5.51 1.71–6.00 | 7.46 3.93–11.00 2.89–12.04 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 49.08 42.29–55.87 40.62–57.54 | 51.96 45.18–58.75 43.51–60.42 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 482 415–549 397–567 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 966 832–1100 797–1136 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.67 64.64–72.70 63.34–73.99 | 74.34 70.02–78.67 68.71–79.98 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.38 8.54–14.22 7.79–14.97 | 10.35 7.40–13.29 6.65–14.04 | 21.72 15.94–27.51 14.44–29.01 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.72 1.56–3.88 1.26–4.18 | 2.54 1.45–3.64 1.16–3.93 | 5.26 3.01–7.52 2.42–8.11 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.62 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.29 1.73–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 6.16 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 35% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.