Championship·Regular Season - 15·
Championship·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.042.34safe0.32–2.260.19–1.900.51–4.16safer0.07–2.510.00–2.130.03–4.64
Shots on target
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.277.32safe2.19–5.911.52–5.013.71–10.92safer1.70–6.401.06–5.472.76–11.88
Total shots
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8810.5923.48safe8.96–16.817.03–14.1615.99–30.97safer7.87–17.906.07–15.1213.94–33.02
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction8.626.6915.31safe5.68–11.574.01–9.379.69–20.94safer4.85–12.403.27–10.118.12–22.50
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.583.116.69safe1.70–5.461.46–4.763.16–10.23safer1.16–6.010.96–5.262.12–11.26
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.4910.08safe3.37–7.802.49–6.495.87–14.30safer2.80–8.381.96–7.034.76–15.40
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction46.3652.75safe39.57–53.1645.97–59.54safer37.90–54.8244.30–61.21
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction372421793safe304–439355–487659–926safer286–457337–505623–962
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction63.5070.09safe59.47–67.5365.76–74.41safer58.18–68.8264.46–75.72
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9612.3124.27safe9.13–14.809.37–15.2618.49–30.06safer8.37–15.568.62–16.0016.99–31.56
Offsides
51%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.593.77safe1.02–3.340.50–2.681.52–6.02safer0.72–3.640.21–2.970.93–6.61
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.214.00safe0.74–2.841.08–3.341.82–6.17safer0.47–3.100.79–3.631.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.624.83safe0.78–3.651.06–4.171.84–7.82safer0.39–4.030.64–4.601.02–8.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.34 0.51–4.16 0.03–4.64 | 42% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 3.27 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.47 | 7.32 3.71–10.92 2.76–11.88 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total shots | 12.88 8.96–16.81 7.87–17.90 | 10.59 7.03–14.16 6.07–15.12 | 23.48 15.99–30.97 13.94–33.02 | 64% 28% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.57 4.85–12.40 | 6.69 4.01–9.37 3.27–10.11 | 15.31 9.69–20.94 8.12–22.50 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.16–6.01 | 3.11 1.46–4.76 0.96–5.26 | 6.69 3.16–10.23 2.12–11.26 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.37–7.80 2.80–8.38 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.03 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 46.36 39.57–53.16 37.90–54.82 | 52.75 45.97–59.54 44.30–61.21 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 372 304–439 286–457 | 421 355–487 337–505 | 793 659–926 623–962 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.50 59.47–67.53 58.18–68.82 | 70.09 65.76–74.41 64.46–75.72 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.13–14.80 8.37–15.56 | 12.31 9.37–15.26 8.62–16.00 | 24.27 18.49–30.06 16.99–31.56 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.64 | 1.59 0.50–2.68 0.21–2.97 | 3.77 1.52–6.02 0.93–6.61 | 51% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.03 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.64–4.60 | 4.83 1.84–7.82 1.02–8.63 | 34% 18% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.