Championship·Regular Season - 29·
Championship·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
29%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.072.16safe0.13–2.060.21–1.920.34–3.99safer0.00–2.310.00–2.150.00–4.47
Shots on target
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.487.16safe1.82–5.541.74–5.223.56–10.77safer1.33–6.031.27–5.692.60–11.72
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4511.4323.88safe8.52–16.377.87–15.0016.40–31.37safer7.43–17.466.91–15.9614.34–33.42
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction7.447.5414.98safe4.49–10.384.86–10.229.36–20.60safer3.66–11.214.12–10.967.79–22.17
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.227.19safe2.09–5.861.57–4.873.66–10.73safer1.55–6.401.07–5.362.62–11.77
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.759.90safe2.94–7.372.75–6.755.69–14.12safer2.37–7.942.22–7.284.58–15.23
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.5844.80safe48.79–62.3738.02–51.59safer47.12–64.0436.35–53.26
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction470354824safe402–537288–421690–958safer384–555270–438655–993
Pass accuracy %
49%
45%
homeawayprediction66.1365.73safe62.10–70.1661.41–70.06safer60.81–71.4560.10–71.37
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3512.9624.31safe8.51–14.1910.01–15.9018.52–30.09safer7.76–14.949.26–16.6517.02–31.59
Offsides
31%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.163.85safe0.53–2.851.07–3.251.60–6.11safer0.23–3.160.78–3.541.01–6.70
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.063.81safe0.70–2.800.93–3.191.63–5.99safer0.43–3.060.64–3.481.07–6.55
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.575.01safe1.00–3.881.01–4.132.02–8.00safer0.62–4.260.59–4.551.21–8.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.13–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.16 0.34–3.99 0.00–4.47 | 36% 29% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.82–5.54 1.33–6.03 | 3.48 1.74–5.22 1.27–5.69 | 7.16 3.56–10.77 2.60–11.72 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.45 8.52–16.37 7.43–17.46 | 11.43 7.87–15.00 6.91–15.96 | 23.88 16.40–31.37 14.34–33.42 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 7.44 4.49–10.38 3.66–11.21 | 7.54 4.86–10.22 4.12–10.96 | 14.98 9.36–20.60 7.79–22.17 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.22 1.57–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 7.19 3.66–10.73 2.62–11.77 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 4.75 2.75–6.75 2.22–7.28 | 9.90 5.69–14.12 4.58–15.23 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 55.58 48.79–62.37 47.12–64.04 | 44.80 38.02–51.59 36.35–53.26 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 470 402–537 384–555 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 824 690–958 655–993 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.13 62.10–70.16 60.81–71.45 | 65.73 61.41–70.06 60.10–71.37 | — | 49% 45% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.51–14.19 7.76–14.94 | 12.96 10.01–15.90 9.26–16.65 | 24.31 18.52–30.09 17.02–31.59 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 2.16 1.07–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 3.85 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 31% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.43–3.06 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.07–6.55 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.88 0.62–4.26 | 2.57 1.01–4.13 0.59–4.55 | 5.01 2.02–8.00 1.21–8.81 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+