Championship·Regular Season - 15·
Championship·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.342.54safe0.24–2.170.48–2.190.72–4.36safer0.00–2.420.25–2.420.24–4.84
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.854.248.09safe1.99–5.712.50–5.984.48–11.69safer1.50–6.202.03–6.453.53–12.65
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9512.4925.43safe9.02–16.878.92–16.0517.95–32.92safer7.93–17.967.96–17.0115.90–34.97
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.878.5316.41safe4.93–10.825.85–11.2210.79–22.03safer4.10–11.655.12–11.959.22–23.60
Blocked shots
46%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.817.86safe2.16–5.932.16–5.464.32–11.39safer1.62–6.471.67–5.963.29–12.43
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.8310.06safe3.01–7.442.83–6.835.85–14.27safer2.44–8.012.30–7.374.74–15.38
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction47.3353.30safe40.54–54.1246.52–60.09safer38.87–55.7944.85–61.76
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction383428811safe316–451361–494678–945safer298–469344–512642–981
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction66.0272.91safe61.99–70.0568.58–77.23safer60.70–71.3467.27–78.54
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0111.7322.74safe8.17–13.848.79–14.6816.96–28.52safer7.41–14.608.04–15.4315.45–30.03
Offsides
28%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.404.16safe0.60–2.921.31–3.491.90–6.41safer0.30–3.221.02–3.781.31–7.00
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.114.04safe0.88–2.980.98–3.241.86–6.21safer0.61–3.240.69–3.531.30–6.77
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.655.35safe1.26–4.141.10–4.212.36–8.34safer0.88–4.520.67–4.631.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.24–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 34% 27% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.99–5.71 1.50–6.20 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 8.09 4.48–11.69 3.53–12.65 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.95 9.02–16.87 7.93–17.96 | 12.49 8.92–16.05 7.96–17.01 | 25.43 17.95–32.92 15.90–34.97 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.93–10.82 4.10–11.65 | 8.53 5.85–11.22 5.12–11.95 | 16.41 10.79–22.03 9.22–23.60 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.81 2.16–5.46 1.67–5.96 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.29–12.43 | 46% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.37 | 10.06 5.85–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 47.33 40.54–54.12 38.87–55.79 | 53.30 46.52–60.09 44.85–61.76 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 383 316–451 298–469 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 811 678–945 642–981 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.02 61.99–70.05 60.70–71.34 | 72.91 68.58–77.23 67.27–78.54 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.17–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 11.73 8.79–14.68 8.04–15.43 | 22.74 16.96–28.52 15.45–30.03 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.40 1.31–3.49 1.02–3.78 | 4.16 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 28% 19% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.14 0.88–4.52 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 5.35 2.36–8.34 1.55–9.16 | 42% 18% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.