Championship·Regular Season - 29·
Championship·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.032.62safe0.62–2.560.17–1.880.80–4.44safer0.37–2.810.00–2.110.32–4.92
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.003.578.56safe3.13–6.861.82–5.314.96–12.17safer2.64–7.351.36–5.774.00–13.12
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6810.5326.20safe11.75–19.606.96–14.0918.71–33.69safer10.66–20.696.00–15.0516.66–35.74
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.997.1417.12safe7.05–12.934.45–9.8211.50–22.75safer6.22–13.763.72–10.559.93–24.31
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.972.736.71safe2.09–5.861.08–4.393.17–10.24safer1.55–6.400.59–4.882.14–11.28
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.2810.38safe3.89–8.312.28–6.286.17–14.59safer3.31–8.891.75–6.825.06–15.70
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9645.10safe48.17–61.7538.32–51.89safer46.50–63.4236.65–53.56
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction473360833safe406–540294–426699–967safer387–558276–444663–1002
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction71.1269.05safe67.09–75.1564.72–73.37safer65.79–76.4463.41–74.68
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0911.5822.67safe8.26–13.938.63–14.5216.89–28.45safer7.50–14.697.88–15.2715.38–29.95
Offsides
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.794.24safe1.29–3.610.70–2.881.98–6.49safer0.99–3.910.41–3.171.40–7.08
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.993.68safe0.64–2.740.86–3.121.50–5.85safer0.37–3.000.57–3.410.94–6.41
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
25%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.385.65safe0.83–3.701.83–4.942.66–8.64safer0.44–4.091.40–5.361.85–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.13–6.86 2.64–7.35 | 3.57 1.82–5.31 1.36–5.77 | 8.56 4.96–12.17 4.00–13.12 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.68 11.75–19.60 10.66–20.69 | 10.53 6.96–14.09 6.00–15.05 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.99 7.05–12.93 6.22–13.76 | 7.14 4.45–9.82 3.72–10.55 | 17.12 11.50–22.75 9.93–24.31 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 2.73 1.08–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 6.71 3.17–10.24 2.14–11.28 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.89–8.31 3.31–8.89 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.82 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 54.96 48.17–61.75 46.50–63.42 | 45.10 38.32–51.89 36.65–53.56 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 473 406–540 387–558 | 360 294–426 276–444 | 833 699–967 663–1002 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.12 67.09–75.15 65.79–76.44 | 69.05 64.72–73.37 63.41–74.68 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.26–13.93 7.50–14.69 | 11.58 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.27 | 22.67 16.89–28.45 15.38–29.95 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 4.24 1.98–6.49 1.40–7.08 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.37–3.00 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.68 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.36 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.45 | 25% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.