Championship·Regular Season - 15·
Championship·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.873.09safe0.25–2.191.01–2.721.26–4.91safer0.00–2.440.78–2.950.78–5.39
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.339.64safe2.45–6.183.58–7.076.04–13.25safer1.96–6.673.12–7.535.08–14.20
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4613.7427.20safe9.53–17.3810.18–17.3119.71–34.69safer8.44–18.479.22–18.2717.66–36.74
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.059.7818.83safe6.11–12.007.10–12.4613.21–24.45safer5.28–12.826.36–13.2011.64–26.02
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.153.888.03safe2.26–6.032.23–5.544.50–11.57safer1.72–6.571.74–6.033.46–12.60
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.895.3410.23safe2.67–7.103.34–7.346.02–14.44safer2.10–7.672.81–7.884.91–15.55
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction39.0261.47safe32.23–45.8154.69–68.26safer30.56–47.4853.02–69.93
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction322541863safe254–389475–608729–997safer236–407457–625694–1032
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction65.5975.93safe61.56–69.6271.60–80.25safer60.27–70.9170.29–81.56
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1510.4322.58safe9.31–14.997.49–13.3716.80–28.36safer8.56–15.746.74–14.1215.29–29.87
Offsides
20%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.644.09safe0.30–2.621.54–3.731.84–6.35safer0.00–2.921.25–4.021.25–6.94
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.723.79safe1.02–3.120.59–2.851.61–5.97safer0.75–3.390.30–3.141.05–6.52
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
44%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.976.06safe1.66–4.531.41–4.533.07–9.05safer1.27–4.920.99–4.952.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.87 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.95 | 3.09 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 5.33 3.58–7.07 3.12–7.53 | 9.64 6.04–13.25 5.08–14.20 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 13.46 9.53–17.38 8.44–18.47 | 13.74 10.18–17.31 9.22–18.27 | 27.20 19.71–34.69 17.66–36.74 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 9.05 6.11–12.00 5.28–12.82 | 9.78 7.10–12.46 6.36–13.20 | 18.83 13.21–24.45 11.64–26.02 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.15 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 3.88 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.81–7.88 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 39.02 32.23–45.81 30.56–47.48 | 61.47 54.69–68.26 53.02–69.93 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 322 254–389 236–407 | 541 475–608 457–625 | 863 729–997 694–1032 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.59 61.56–69.62 60.27–70.91 | 75.93 71.60–80.25 70.29–81.56 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.99 8.56–15.74 | 10.43 7.49–13.37 6.74–14.12 | 22.58 16.80–28.36 15.29–29.87 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.46 0.30–2.62 0.00–2.92 | 2.64 1.54–3.73 1.25–4.02 | 4.09 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 20% 18% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.75–3.39 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.79 1.61–5.97 1.05–6.52 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.97 1.41–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 44% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.