Championship·Regular Season - 29·
Championship·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.972.86safe0.91–2.850.12–1.831.03–4.68safer0.66–3.100.00–2.060.55–5.16
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.398.99safe3.74–7.461.65–5.135.39–12.60safer3.25–7.951.18–5.604.43–13.55
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6410.9427.58safe12.72–20.577.37–14.5020.09–35.07safer11.63–21.666.42–15.4618.04–37.12
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.347.2118.56safe8.40–14.294.53–9.8912.93–24.18safer7.57–15.123.79–10.6311.37–25.75
Blocked shots
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.738.32safe2.71–6.472.07–5.384.78–11.85safer2.16–7.011.58–5.873.75–12.89
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.813.6210.43safe4.60–9.031.62–5.626.22–14.64safer4.02–9.601.09–6.155.11–15.75
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.8834.69safe59.09–72.6727.90–41.47safer57.42–74.3426.23–43.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction610300911safe543–678234–367777–1044safer525–696216–384741–1080
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction76.5567.47safe72.52–80.5863.15–71.79safer71.22–81.8761.84–73.10
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8412.6622.50safe7.01–12.689.71–15.6016.72–28.28safer6.25–13.448.96–16.3515.21–29.79
Offsides
66%
17%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.571.233.79safe1.41–3.730.13–2.321.54–6.05safer1.10–4.030.00–2.610.95–6.64
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.322.253.58safe0.27–2.371.12–3.381.40–5.75safer0.01–2.640.83–3.670.84–6.31
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.636.03safe0.96–3.842.08–5.193.04–9.03safer0.58–4.221.65–5.612.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.74–7.46 3.25–7.95 | 3.39 1.65–5.13 1.18–5.60 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.55 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.64 12.72–20.57 11.63–21.66 | 10.94 7.37–14.50 6.42–15.46 | 27.58 20.09–35.07 18.04–37.12 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.57–15.12 | 7.21 4.53–9.89 3.79–10.63 | 18.56 12.93–24.18 11.37–25.75 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.71–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.73 2.07–5.38 1.58–5.87 | 8.32 4.78–11.85 3.75–12.89 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Corners | 6.81 4.60–9.03 4.02–9.60 | 3.62 1.62–5.62 1.09–6.15 | 10.43 6.22–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 80% |
| Possession % | 65.88 59.09–72.67 57.42–74.34 | 34.69 27.90–41.47 26.23–43.14 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 610 543–678 525–696 | 300 234–367 216–384 | 911 777–1044 741–1080 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.55 72.52–80.58 71.22–81.87 | 67.47 63.15–71.79 61.84–73.10 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.01–12.68 6.25–13.44 | 12.66 9.71–15.60 8.96–16.35 | 22.50 16.72–28.28 15.21–29.79 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.10–4.03 | 1.23 0.13–2.32 0.00–2.61 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.64 | 66% 17% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.37 0.01–2.64 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.58 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.84 0.58–4.22 | 3.63 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 24% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+