Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
25%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.590.942.54safe0.63–2.560.09–1.800.72–4.36safer0.37–2.810.00–2.030.24–4.84
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.327.98safe2.81–6.531.57–5.064.38–11.59safer2.32–7.021.11–5.523.42–12.55
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5910.7526.34safe11.66–19.517.19–14.3118.85–33.83safer10.57–20.606.23–15.2716.80–35.88
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.476.4215.89safe6.53–12.413.74–9.1010.27–21.51safer5.70–13.243.00–9.848.70–23.08
Blocked shots
62%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.007.37safe2.49–6.251.35–4.663.84–10.91safer1.94–6.790.86–5.152.80–11.94
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.769.97safe4.00–8.431.76–5.765.76–14.19safer3.43–9.001.22–6.294.65–15.29
Possession %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction57.5242.59safe50.73–64.3135.80–49.37safer49.06–65.9834.13–51.04
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction524360884safe457–591293–426750–1017safer439–609276–444714–1053
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction72.2369.51safe68.20–76.2665.18–73.83safer66.91–77.5663.87–75.14
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5111.8322.34safe7.68–13.358.88–14.7716.56–28.12safer6.92–14.118.13–15.5215.05–29.63
Offsides
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.332.77safe0.28–2.600.24–2.420.52–5.03safer0.00–2.910.00–2.710.00–5.62
Yellow cards
32%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.863.41safe0.50–2.600.73–2.991.23–5.59safer0.23–2.860.44–3.280.67–6.14
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.985.41safe0.99–3.861.43–4.542.41–8.40safer0.60–4.251.00–4.961.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.63–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 53% 25% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.81–6.53 2.32–7.02 | 3.32 1.57–5.06 1.11–5.52 | 7.98 4.38–11.59 3.42–12.55 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.59 11.66–19.51 10.57–20.60 | 10.75 7.19–14.31 6.23–15.27 | 26.34 18.85–33.83 16.80–35.88 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.47 6.53–12.41 5.70–13.24 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.00–9.84 | 15.89 10.27–21.51 8.70–23.08 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.49–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 3.00 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 7.37 3.84–10.91 2.80–11.94 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.22–6.29 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 57.52 50.73–64.31 49.06–65.98 | 42.59 35.80–49.37 34.13–51.04 | — | 79% 17% |
| Passes | 524 457–591 439–609 | 360 293–426 276–444 | 884 750–1017 714–1053 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.23 68.20–76.26 66.91–77.56 | 69.51 65.18–73.83 63.87–75.14 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 11.83 8.88–14.77 8.13–15.52 | 22.34 16.56–28.12 15.05–29.63 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.91 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 2.77 0.52–5.03 0.00–5.62 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.67–6.14 | 32% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.41 2.41–8.40 1.60–9.21 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.