Championship·Regular Season - 15·
Championship·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.973.13safe0.20–2.141.11–2.821.31–4.96safer0.00–2.390.88–3.050.83–5.44
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.305.389.69safe2.44–6.163.64–7.136.08–13.29safer1.95–6.653.18–7.595.13–14.25
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3315.0028.33safe9.40–17.2511.44–18.5620.84–35.82safer8.31–18.3410.48–19.5218.79–37.87
Shots in box
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3810.7319.11safe5.44–11.328.05–13.4113.49–24.73safer4.61–12.157.31–14.1511.92–26.30
Blocked shots
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.318.07safe1.88–5.642.66–5.974.54–11.61safer1.33–6.192.17–6.463.50–12.64
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.715.4910.20safe2.50–6.923.49–7.495.98–14.41safer1.92–7.502.95–8.024.88–15.52
Possession %
25%
72%
homeawayprediction45.1455.80safe38.35–51.9349.01–62.58safer36.68–53.6047.34–64.25
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction401498900safe334–469432–565766–1034safer316–487414–582731–1069
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction68.4176.21safe64.38–72.4471.88–80.53safer63.09–73.7370.58–81.84
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.309.9721.27safe8.46–14.147.03–12.9215.49–27.06safer7.71–14.906.28–13.6613.99–28.56
Offsides
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.113.85safe0.58–2.901.02–3.201.59–6.10safer0.28–3.200.73–3.491.00–6.69
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.863.89safe0.98–3.070.74–2.991.71–6.07safer0.71–3.340.44–3.281.15–6.63
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.886.52safe2.21–5.081.32–4.443.53–9.52safer1.82–5.470.90–4.862.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.97 1.11–2.82 0.88–3.05 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.44–6.16 1.95–6.65 | 5.38 3.64–7.13 3.18–7.59 | 9.69 6.08–13.29 5.13–14.25 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 13.33 9.40–17.25 8.31–18.34 | 15.00 11.44–18.56 10.48–19.52 | 28.33 20.84–35.82 18.79–37.87 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.44–11.32 4.61–12.15 | 10.73 8.05–13.41 7.31–14.15 | 19.11 13.49–24.73 11.92–26.30 | 26% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.88–5.64 1.33–6.19 | 4.31 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 8.07 4.54–11.61 3.50–12.64 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.50–6.92 1.92–7.50 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.95–8.02 | 10.20 5.98–14.41 4.88–15.52 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 45.14 38.35–51.93 36.68–53.60 | 55.80 49.01–62.58 47.34–64.25 | — | 25% 72% |
| Passes | 401 334–469 316–487 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 900 766–1034 731–1069 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.41 64.38–72.44 63.09–73.73 | 76.21 71.88–80.53 70.58–81.84 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.30 8.46–14.14 7.71–14.90 | 9.97 7.03–12.92 6.28–13.66 | 21.27 15.49–27.06 13.99–28.56 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 2.11 1.02–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 1.86 0.74–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.63 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.21–5.08 1.82–5.47 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.52 3.53–9.52 2.72–10.33 | 54% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.