Championship·Regular Season - 29·
Championship·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.083.18safe1.12–3.060.23–1.941.35–5.00safer0.87–3.310.00–2.170.87–5.48
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.263.659.92safe4.40–8.131.91–5.406.31–13.52safer3.91–8.621.44–5.865.36–14.48
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8910.8528.74safe13.97–21.827.29–14.4121.25–36.23safer12.87–22.916.33–15.3719.20–38.28
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.537.3719.90safe9.59–15.484.69–10.0514.28–25.53safer8.76–16.303.95–10.7912.71–27.09
Blocked shots
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.248.65safe3.54–7.301.58–4.895.12–12.19safer2.99–7.841.09–5.384.08–13.22
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.783.7610.54safe4.57–8.991.76–5.766.32–14.75safer3.99–9.571.23–6.295.22–15.86
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.4141.33safe51.62–65.2034.54–48.11safer49.95–66.8732.87–49.78
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction533373906safe466–600307–440773–1040safer447–618289–457737–1076
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction76.3372.03safe72.30–80.3667.70–76.35safer71.01–81.6566.39–77.66
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1411.9722.10safe7.30–12.979.02–14.9116.32–27.89safer6.54–13.738.27–15.6614.82–29.39
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.633.72safe0.93–3.250.53–2.721.46–5.97safer0.63–3.550.25–3.010.87–6.56
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.043.47safe0.37–2.470.91–3.171.29–5.64safer0.11–2.740.62–3.460.73–6.20
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.976.45safe1.04–3.912.42–5.533.46–9.44safer0.65–4.301.99–5.962.65–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.06 0.87–3.31 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 61% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.26 4.40–8.13 3.91–8.62 | 3.65 1.91–5.40 1.44–5.86 | 9.92 6.31–13.52 5.36–14.48 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.89 13.97–21.82 12.87–22.91 | 10.85 7.29–14.41 6.33–15.37 | 28.74 21.25–36.23 19.20–38.28 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.53 9.59–15.48 8.76–16.30 | 7.37 4.69–10.05 3.95–10.79 | 19.90 14.28–25.53 12.71–27.09 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.54–7.30 2.99–7.84 | 3.24 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 8.65 5.12–12.19 4.08–13.22 | 72% 18% |
| Corners | 6.78 4.57–8.99 3.99–9.57 | 3.76 1.76–5.76 1.23–6.29 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 58.41 51.62–65.20 49.95–66.87 | 41.33 34.54–48.11 32.87–49.78 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 447–618 | 373 307–440 289–457 | 906 773–1040 737–1076 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.33 72.30–80.36 71.01–81.65 | 72.03 67.70–76.35 66.39–77.66 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.30–12.97 6.54–13.73 | 11.97 9.02–14.91 8.27–15.66 | 22.10 16.32–27.89 14.82–29.39 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.63 0.53–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.47 1.29–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.97 2.42–5.53 1.99–5.96 | 6.45 3.46–9.44 2.65–10.25 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+