Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.580.962.54safe0.61–2.550.11–1.820.72–4.36safer0.36–2.800.00–2.050.24–4.84
Shots on target
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.117.74safe2.76–6.491.37–4.864.13–11.34safer2.27–6.980.91–5.323.18–12.30
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8910.1525.04safe10.97–18.816.59–13.7117.55–32.53safer9.87–19.915.63–14.6715.50–34.58
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.306.8716.17safe6.36–12.244.19–9.5510.54–21.79safer5.53–13.073.45–10.298.98–23.36
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.127.45safe2.45–6.211.47–4.773.91–10.99safer1.90–6.760.98–5.272.88–12.02
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.404.3610.76safe4.19–8.622.36–6.366.55–14.97safer3.61–9.191.82–6.895.44–16.08
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.6337.85safe54.84–68.4231.06–44.63safer53.17–70.0929.39–46.30
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction519307826safe452–587240–373693–960safer434–605223–391657–996
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction72.1065.92safe68.07–76.1361.60–70.25safer66.78–77.4260.29–71.56
Fouls
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3115.1525.46safe7.47–13.1512.20–18.0919.67–31.24safer6.71–13.9011.45–18.8418.17–32.74
Offsides
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.053.70safe0.50–2.820.95–3.141.45–5.96safer0.20–3.120.66–3.430.86–6.55
Yellow cards
26%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.193.71safe0.47–2.561.06–3.321.53–5.89safer0.20–2.830.77–3.610.97–6.44
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.145.31safe0.74–3.611.58–4.692.32–8.30safer0.35–4.001.16–5.121.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.49 2.27–6.98 | 3.11 1.37–4.86 0.91–5.32 | 7.74 4.13–11.34 3.18–12.30 | 64% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.89 10.97–18.81 9.87–19.91 | 10.15 6.59–13.71 5.63–14.67 | 25.04 17.55–32.53 15.50–34.58 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.30 6.36–12.24 5.53–13.07 | 6.87 4.19–9.55 3.45–10.29 | 16.17 10.54–21.79 8.98–23.36 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.90–6.76 | 3.12 1.47–4.77 0.98–5.27 | 7.45 3.91–10.99 2.88–12.02 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 6.40 4.19–8.62 3.61–9.19 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.82–6.89 | 10.76 6.55–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 61.63 54.84–68.42 53.17–70.09 | 37.85 31.06–44.63 29.39–46.30 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 519 452–587 434–605 | 307 240–373 223–391 | 826 693–960 657–996 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.10 68.07–76.13 66.78–77.42 | 65.92 61.60–70.25 60.29–71.56 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.47–13.15 6.71–13.90 | 15.15 12.20–18.09 11.45–18.84 | 25.46 19.67–31.24 18.17–32.74 | 14% 81% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.05 0.95–3.14 0.66–3.43 | 3.70 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 26% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 5.31 2.32–8.30 1.50–9.11 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.