Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.302.40safe0.13–2.070.45–2.160.58–4.23safer0.00–2.320.22–2.380.10–4.71
Shots on target
35%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.634.177.80safe1.77–5.492.43–5.924.20–11.41safer1.28–5.981.96–6.383.24–12.36
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0811.7923.86safe8.15–16.008.22–15.3516.37–31.35safer7.06–17.097.26–16.3114.32–33.40
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction7.998.0816.07safe5.04–10.935.40–10.7610.44–21.69safer4.22–11.764.66–11.508.88–23.26
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.404.007.40safe1.52–5.282.35–5.653.86–10.94safer0.98–5.831.85–6.142.83–11.97
Corners
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.2310.21safe2.77–7.193.23–7.236.00–14.42safer2.19–7.772.70–7.764.89–15.53
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.9161.19safe33.12–46.7054.41–67.98safer31.45–48.3752.74–69.65
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction330500830safe263–397433–566696–963safer245–415416–584660–999
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction60.4674.14safe56.43–64.4969.82–78.47safer55.14–65.7868.51–79.78
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0410.8924.94safe11.21–16.887.95–13.8419.15–30.72safer10.45–17.647.20–14.5917.65–32.22
Offsides
48%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.553.53safe0.82–3.140.46–2.641.28–5.78safer0.52–3.440.17–2.930.69–6.37
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.923.59safe0.62–2.720.79–3.051.41–5.77safer0.35–2.980.50–3.340.85–6.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
46%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.782.475.25safe1.34–4.220.91–4.032.26–8.24safer0.96–4.600.49–4.451.45–9.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.38 | 2.40 0.58–4.23 0.10–4.71 | 31% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.63 1.77–5.49 1.28–5.98 | 4.17 2.43–5.92 1.96–6.38 | 7.80 4.20–11.41 3.24–12.36 | 35% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.08 8.15–16.00 7.06–17.09 | 11.79 8.22–15.35 7.26–16.31 | 23.86 16.37–31.35 14.32–33.40 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.99 5.04–10.93 4.22–11.76 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.66–11.50 | 16.07 10.44–21.69 8.88–23.26 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.98–5.83 | 4.00 2.35–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 7.40 3.86–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.77–7.19 2.19–7.77 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.70–7.76 | 10.21 6.00–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 41% 47% |
| Possession % | 39.91 33.12–46.70 31.45–48.37 | 61.19 54.41–67.98 52.74–69.65 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 330 263–397 245–415 | 500 433–566 416–584 | 830 696–963 660–999 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.46 56.43–64.49 55.14–65.78 | 74.14 69.82–78.47 68.51–79.78 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 14.04 11.21–16.88 10.45–17.64 | 10.89 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.59 | 24.94 19.15–30.72 17.65–32.22 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.53 1.28–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 48% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.33 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.22 0.96–4.60 | 2.47 0.91–4.03 0.49–4.45 | 5.25 2.26–8.24 1.45–9.06 | 46% 18% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.