Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.172.42safe0.29–2.220.31–2.020.60–4.24safer0.03–2.470.08–2.250.12–4.72
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.348.36safe2.16–5.882.60–6.084.75–11.96safer1.67–6.372.13–6.553.80–12.92
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6712.5124.18safe7.75–15.608.95–16.0716.69–31.67safer6.66–16.697.99–17.0314.64–33.72
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.628.5117.13safe5.68–11.565.83–11.1911.51–22.76safer4.85–12.395.09–11.939.94–24.32
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.756.94safe1.31–5.082.10–5.403.41–10.48safer0.77–5.621.61–5.902.37–11.52
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.869.73safe2.65–7.082.86–6.865.51–13.94safer2.08–7.652.33–7.404.41–15.05
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3052.07safe41.51–55.0945.29–58.86safer39.84–56.7643.62–60.53
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction441462903safe374–509395–528769–1037safer356–527378–546734–1072
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction67.3972.73safe63.36–71.4268.41–77.06safer62.07–72.7167.10–78.37
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9011.4423.34safe9.06–14.748.49–14.3817.55–29.12safer8.31–15.497.74–15.1316.05–30.62
Offsides
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.503.75safe1.09–3.410.41–2.591.50–6.01safer0.79–3.710.12–2.880.91–6.59
Yellow cards
33%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.993.67safe0.63–2.730.86–3.121.49–5.85safer0.36–3.000.57–3.410.93–6.40
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.765.70safe1.50–4.381.20–4.322.71–8.69safer1.12–4.760.78–4.741.90–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.29–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.42 0.60–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 38% 27% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.88 1.67–6.37 | 4.34 2.60–6.08 2.13–6.55 | 8.36 4.75–11.96 3.80–12.92 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.67 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 12.51 8.95–16.07 7.99–17.03 | 24.18 16.69–31.67 14.64–33.72 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 8.51 5.83–11.19 5.09–11.93 | 17.13 11.51–22.76 9.94–24.32 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.08 0.77–5.62 | 3.75 2.10–5.40 1.61–5.90 | 6.94 3.41–10.48 2.37–11.52 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.40 | 9.73 5.51–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 48.30 41.51–55.09 39.84–56.76 | 52.07 45.29–58.86 43.62–60.53 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 441 374–509 356–527 | 462 395–528 378–546 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.39 63.36–71.42 62.07–72.71 | 72.73 68.41–77.06 67.10–78.37 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.90 9.06–14.74 8.31–15.49 | 11.44 8.49–14.38 7.74–15.13 | 23.34 17.55–29.12 16.05–30.62 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.50 0.41–2.59 0.12–2.88 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.59 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.40 | 33% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.38 1.12–4.76 | 2.76 1.20–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.90–9.50 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.