Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.992.62safe0.66–2.590.14–1.850.79–4.44safer0.40–2.840.00–2.070.31–4.92
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.953.658.60safe3.09–6.811.91–5.395.00–12.21safer2.60–7.301.44–5.864.04–13.16
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2010.9625.15safe10.27–18.127.39–14.5217.67–32.64safer9.18–19.216.43–15.4815.62–34.69
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.437.0016.43safe6.49–12.374.32–9.6810.81–22.05safer5.66–13.203.58–10.429.24–23.62
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.766.94safe2.30–6.071.10–4.413.40–10.47safer1.76–6.610.61–4.902.37–11.51
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.063.879.92safe3.84–8.271.87–5.875.71–14.14safer3.27–8.841.33–6.404.60–15.24
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.9042.47safe51.11–64.6935.69–49.26safer49.44–66.3634.01–50.93
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction534363897safe467–601297–430764–1031safer449–620279–447728–1067
Pass accuracy %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction69.6867.10safe65.65–73.7162.77–71.42safer64.36–75.0061.46–72.73
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5710.7621.32safe7.73–13.407.81–13.7015.54–27.11safer6.97–14.167.06–14.4514.04–28.61
Offsides
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.453.89safe0.29–2.611.35–3.541.64–6.15safer0.00–2.911.06–3.831.05–6.74
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.893.50safe0.56–2.660.76–3.011.32–5.67safer0.30–2.930.47–3.310.76–6.23
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.245.80safe1.12–3.991.68–4.802.81–8.79safer0.73–4.381.26–5.221.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.07 | 2.62 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.81 2.60–7.30 | 3.65 1.91–5.39 1.44–5.86 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.27–18.12 9.18–19.21 | 10.96 7.39–14.52 6.43–15.48 | 25.15 17.67–32.64 15.62–34.69 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.43 6.49–12.37 5.66–13.20 | 7.00 4.32–9.68 3.58–10.42 | 16.43 10.81–22.05 9.24–23.62 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 2.76 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 6.06 3.84–8.27 3.27–8.84 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 9.92 5.71–14.14 4.60–15.24 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.90 51.11–64.69 49.44–66.36 | 42.47 35.69–49.26 34.01–50.93 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 534 467–601 449–620 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 897 764–1031 728–1067 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.68 65.65–73.71 64.36–75.00 | 67.10 62.77–71.42 61.46–72.73 | — | 61% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.57 7.73–13.40 6.97–14.16 | 10.76 7.81–13.70 7.06–14.45 | 21.32 15.54–27.11 14.04–28.61 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 2.45 1.35–3.54 1.06–3.83 | 3.89 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.74 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 3.50 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.24 1.68–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 5.80 2.81–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.