Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.252.76safe0.54–2.480.40–2.110.94–4.58safer0.29–2.730.17–2.330.46–5.06
Shots on target
52%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.008.65safe2.80–6.522.25–5.745.05–12.26safer2.31–7.011.79–6.204.09–13.21
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6512.0126.67safe10.73–18.588.45–15.5819.18–34.15safer9.64–19.677.49–16.5417.13–36.20
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.198.0217.21safe6.24–12.135.34–10.7011.58–22.83safer5.41–12.964.60–11.4410.02–24.40
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.147.34safe2.32–6.081.49–4.793.81–10.88safer1.78–6.631.00–5.292.77–11.91
Corners
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.259.67safe3.21–7.632.25–6.255.46–13.89safer2.63–8.211.72–6.794.35–14.99
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.8248.09safe46.03–59.6141.30–54.87safer44.36–61.2839.63–56.55
Passes
70%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction512448959safe445–579381–514826–1093safer426–597364–532790–1129
Pass accuracy %
44%
50%
homeawayprediction70.8471.43safe66.81–74.8767.11–75.76safer65.52–76.1665.80–77.07
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.299.8120.10safe7.45–13.136.86–12.7514.32–25.88safer6.70–13.886.11–13.5012.81–27.38
Offsides
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.514.03safe0.36–2.681.41–3.601.77–6.28safer0.06–2.981.12–3.891.18–6.87
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.803.50safe0.65–2.740.67–2.931.32–5.67safer0.38–3.010.38–3.220.76–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.295.99safe1.26–4.131.74–4.853.00–8.98safer0.87–4.521.31–5.272.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.33 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 43% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.66 2.80–6.52 2.31–7.01 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.20 | 8.65 5.05–12.26 4.09–13.21 | 52% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.65 10.73–18.58 9.64–19.67 | 12.01 8.45–15.58 7.49–16.54 | 26.67 19.18–34.15 17.13–36.20 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.19 6.24–12.13 5.41–12.96 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.60–11.44 | 17.21 11.58–22.83 10.02–24.40 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.08 1.78–6.63 | 3.14 1.49–4.79 1.00–5.29 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.91 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.63 2.63–8.21 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.79 | 9.67 5.46–13.89 4.35–14.99 | 58% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.82 46.03–59.61 44.36–61.28 | 48.09 41.30–54.87 39.63–56.55 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 512 445–579 426–597 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 959 826–1093 790–1129 | 70% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.84 66.81–74.87 65.52–76.16 | 71.43 67.11–75.76 65.80–77.07 | — | 44% 50% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.13 6.70–13.88 | 9.81 6.86–12.75 6.11–13.50 | 20.10 14.32–25.88 12.81–27.38 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.51 1.41–3.60 1.12–3.89 | 4.03 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.87 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.65–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.50 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 32% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+