Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.472.75safe0.31–2.250.61–2.320.93–4.57safer0.06–2.500.38–2.550.45–5.05
Shots on target
47%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.178.61safe2.57–6.302.43–5.925.00–12.21safer2.08–6.791.97–6.384.05–13.17
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0611.9425.00safe9.13–16.988.38–15.5117.51–32.49safer8.04–18.077.42–16.4715.46–34.54
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.118.5216.63safe5.17–11.065.84–11.2011.01–22.26safer4.34–11.885.10–11.949.44–23.82
Blocked shots
59%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.365.80safe1.56–5.320.70–4.012.26–9.33safer1.01–5.860.21–4.501.22–10.37
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.315.2410.55safe3.10–7.523.24–7.246.34–14.76safer2.52–8.102.71–7.775.23–15.87
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction51.8548.48safe45.06–58.6441.69–55.26safer43.39–60.3140.02–56.93
Passes
64%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction416372788safe349–484306–438655–922safer331–502288–456619–958
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction65.5667.74safe61.53–69.5963.42–72.07safer60.24–70.8862.11–73.37
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8712.1823.05safe8.03–13.709.24–15.1317.27–28.83safer7.27–14.468.49–15.8815.76–30.34
Offsides
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.734.125.84safe0.57–2.893.03–5.213.59–8.10safer0.26–3.192.74–5.503.00–8.69
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.873.49safe0.57–2.670.74–3.001.32–5.67safer0.31–2.940.45–3.290.76–6.23
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.095.79safe1.26–4.131.53–4.642.79–8.78safer0.87–4.521.11–5.071.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 33% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.30 2.08–6.79 | 4.17 2.43–5.92 1.97–6.38 | 8.61 5.00–12.21 4.05–13.17 | 47% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.06 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 11.94 8.38–15.51 7.42–16.47 | 25.00 17.51–32.49 15.46–34.54 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.17–11.06 4.34–11.88 | 8.52 5.84–11.20 5.10–11.94 | 16.63 11.01–22.26 9.44–23.82 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.56–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 2.36 0.70–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 5.80 2.26–9.33 1.22–10.37 | 59% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.10–7.52 2.52–8.10 | 5.24 3.24–7.24 2.71–7.77 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 51.85 45.06–58.64 43.39–60.31 | 48.48 41.69–55.26 40.02–56.93 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 416 349–484 331–502 | 372 306–438 288–456 | 788 655–922 619–958 | 64% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.56 61.53–69.59 60.24–70.88 | 67.74 63.42–72.07 62.11–73.37 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.03–13.70 7.27–14.46 | 12.18 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 23.05 17.27–28.83 15.76–30.34 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.26–3.19 | 4.12 3.03–5.21 2.74–5.50 | 5.84 3.59–8.10 3.00–8.69 | 79% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.49 1.32–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.09 1.53–4.64 1.11–5.07 | 5.79 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.