Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.073.25safe1.21–3.150.21–1.921.43–5.07safer0.96–3.400.00–2.150.95–5.55
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.639.70safe4.21–7.931.89–5.376.09–13.30safer3.72–8.421.42–5.845.14–14.26
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.409.8227.21safe13.47–21.326.25–13.3819.73–34.70safer12.38–22.415.29–14.3417.68–36.75
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction11.026.8317.85safe8.07–13.964.15–9.5112.22–23.47safer7.24–14.793.41–10.2510.66–25.04
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.603.157.75safe2.72–6.481.49–4.804.21–11.29safer2.18–7.031.00–5.293.18–12.32
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.523.7010.23safe4.31–8.741.70–5.706.01–14.44safer3.74–9.311.17–6.234.91–15.55
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.5644.00safe48.77–62.3537.22–50.79safer47.10–64.0235.55–52.46
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction533406939safe466–600340–473805–1073safer448–618322–490770–1108
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction74.8474.37safe70.81–78.8770.05–78.69safer69.52–80.1668.74–80.00
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.459.8321.27safe8.61–14.286.88–12.7715.49–27.06safer7.85–15.046.13–13.5213.99–28.56
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.603.32safe0.56–2.880.51–2.701.07–5.57safer0.26–3.180.22–2.980.48–6.16
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.883.32safe0.40–2.490.75–3.001.14–5.50safer0.13–2.760.46–3.300.59–6.06
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.543.816.35safe1.10–3.972.25–5.373.35–9.34safer0.71–4.361.83–5.792.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.15 0.96–3.40 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 63% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.07 4.21–7.93 3.72–8.42 | 3.63 1.89–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 9.70 6.09–13.30 5.14–14.26 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 17.40 13.47–21.32 12.38–22.41 | 9.82 6.25–13.38 5.29–14.34 | 27.21 19.73–34.70 17.68–36.75 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.02 8.07–13.96 7.24–14.79 | 6.83 4.15–9.51 3.41–10.25 | 17.85 12.22–23.47 10.66–25.04 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.60 2.72–6.48 2.18–7.03 | 3.15 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 7.75 4.21–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.31–8.74 3.74–9.31 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 10.23 6.01–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 55.56 48.77–62.35 47.10–64.02 | 44.00 37.22–50.79 35.55–52.46 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 448–618 | 406 340–473 322–490 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.84 70.81–78.87 69.52–80.16 | 74.37 70.05–78.69 68.74–80.00 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.61–14.28 7.85–15.04 | 9.83 6.88–12.77 6.13–13.52 | 21.27 15.49–27.06 13.99–28.56 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.98 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.49 0.13–2.76 | 1.88 0.75–3.00 0.46–3.30 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.81 2.25–5.37 1.83–5.79 | 6.35 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+