Championship·Regular Season - 31·
Championship·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.032.49safe0.49–2.430.18–1.890.67–4.32safer0.24–2.680.00–2.120.19–4.80
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.943.248.18safe3.08–6.801.50–4.994.58–11.79safer2.59–7.291.03–5.453.62–12.74
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.509.7525.24safe11.57–19.426.18–13.3117.76–32.73safer10.48–20.515.22–14.2715.71–34.78
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.027.2117.23safe7.08–12.974.53–9.8911.61–22.86safer6.25–13.793.79–10.6310.04–24.42
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.462.717.17safe2.58–6.341.06–4.363.63–10.71safer2.04–6.890.56–4.852.60–11.74
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.274.3310.59safe4.05–8.482.33–6.336.38–14.81safer3.48–9.051.79–6.865.27–15.92
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.8845.83safe48.09–61.6739.05–52.62safer46.42–63.3437.38–54.29
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction420339759safe353–487272–405625–892safer334–505255–423589–928
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction67.4466.31safe63.41–71.4761.99–70.64safer62.12–72.7660.68–71.95
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6612.6523.31safe7.82–13.509.71–15.5917.53–29.09safer7.07–14.268.96–16.3416.02–30.60
Offsides
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.464.24safe0.62–2.941.37–3.561.99–6.50safer0.32–3.241.08–3.841.40–7.08
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.273.94safe0.63–2.731.14–3.391.77–6.12safer0.36–3.000.84–3.691.21–6.68
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.355.55safe0.76–3.631.80–4.912.56–8.54safer0.37–4.021.37–5.331.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.49 0.67–4.32 0.19–4.80 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.80 2.59–7.29 | 3.24 1.50–4.99 1.03–5.45 | 8.18 4.58–11.79 3.62–12.74 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.50 11.57–19.42 10.48–20.51 | 9.75 6.18–13.31 5.22–14.27 | 25.24 17.76–32.73 15.71–34.78 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.02 7.08–12.97 6.25–13.79 | 7.21 4.53–9.89 3.79–10.63 | 17.23 11.61–22.86 10.04–24.42 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.58–6.34 2.04–6.89 | 2.71 1.06–4.36 0.56–4.85 | 7.17 3.63–10.71 2.60–11.74 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.27 4.05–8.48 3.48–9.05 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.79–6.86 | 10.59 6.38–14.81 5.27–15.92 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.88 48.09–61.67 46.42–63.34 | 45.83 39.05–52.62 37.38–54.29 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 334–505 | 339 272–405 255–423 | 759 625–892 589–928 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.44 63.41–71.47 62.12–72.76 | 66.31 61.99–70.64 60.68–71.95 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.66 7.82–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 12.65 9.71–15.59 8.96–16.34 | 23.31 17.53–29.09 16.02–30.60 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.24 | 2.46 1.37–3.56 1.08–3.84 | 4.24 1.99–6.50 1.40–7.08 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–3.00 | 2.27 1.14–3.39 0.84–3.69 | 3.94 1.77–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 3.35 1.80–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.75–9.36 | 24% 16% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+