Championship·Regular Season - 31·
Championship·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.602.97safe0.41–2.340.74–2.451.15–4.80safer0.15–2.590.52–2.680.67–5.27
Shots on target
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.719.62safe3.05–6.772.97–6.456.01–13.22safer2.56–7.262.50–6.925.06–14.18
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4912.2826.76safe10.56–18.418.72–15.8419.28–34.25safer9.47–19.507.76–16.8017.23–36.30
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.829.1718.99safe6.87–12.766.49–11.8513.37–24.61safer6.05–13.595.75–12.5911.80–26.18
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.353.467.80safe2.46–6.231.81–5.114.27–11.34safer1.92–6.771.31–5.603.23–12.38
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.325.0110.33safe3.11–7.543.01–7.016.12–14.54safer2.54–8.112.47–7.545.01–15.65
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.3956.19safe37.60–51.1849.41–62.98safer35.93–52.8547.74–64.65
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction410531941safe343–478464–597808–1075safer325–496447–615772–1111
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction66.8175.27safe62.78–70.8470.94–79.59safer61.49–72.1369.63–80.90
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0411.5122.56safe8.20–13.888.57–14.4616.77–28.34safer7.45–14.637.82–15.2115.27–29.84
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.693.35safe0.50–2.820.59–2.781.10–5.60safer0.20–3.120.31–3.070.51–6.19
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.083.64safe0.52–2.620.95–3.211.47–5.82safer0.25–2.880.66–3.500.91–6.38
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.456.21safe1.33–4.201.89–5.003.22–9.20safer0.94–4.591.47–5.432.41–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.41–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.60 0.74–2.45 0.52–2.68 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.27 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.77 2.56–7.26 | 4.71 2.97–6.45 2.50–6.92 | 9.62 6.01–13.22 5.06–14.18 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.49 10.56–18.41 9.47–19.50 | 12.28 8.72–15.84 7.76–16.80 | 26.76 19.28–34.25 17.23–36.30 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.87–12.76 6.05–13.59 | 9.17 6.49–11.85 5.75–12.59 | 18.99 13.37–24.61 11.80–26.18 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.35 2.46–6.23 1.92–6.77 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.80 4.27–11.34 3.23–12.38 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.47–7.54 | 10.33 6.12–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 44.39 37.60–51.18 35.93–52.85 | 56.19 49.41–62.98 47.74–64.65 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 410 343–478 325–496 | 531 464–597 447–615 | 941 808–1075 772–1111 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.81 62.78–70.84 61.49–72.13 | 75.27 70.94–79.59 69.63–80.90 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.04 8.20–13.88 7.45–14.63 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 22.56 16.77–28.34 15.27–29.84 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.69 0.59–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.35 1.10–5.60 0.51–6.19 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.64 1.47–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.45 1.89–5.00 1.47–5.43 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.41–10.01 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.