Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.282.59safe0.35–2.280.42–2.130.77–4.42safer0.10–2.530.20–2.360.29–4.90
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.458.72safe2.41–6.142.71–6.195.12–12.33safer1.92–6.632.24–6.664.16–13.28
Total shots
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5212.2124.74safe8.60–16.458.65–15.7717.25–32.22safer7.51–17.547.69–16.7315.20–34.27
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.787.9716.75safe5.84–11.725.28–10.6511.12–22.37safer5.01–12.554.55–11.389.56–23.94
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.483.346.82safe1.60–5.371.68–4.993.28–10.35safer1.06–5.911.19–5.482.25–11.39
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.269.33safe2.85–7.282.26–6.265.12–13.54safer2.28–7.851.73–6.804.01–14.65
Possession %
24%
73%
homeawayprediction44.8455.96safe38.05–51.6349.17–62.74safer36.38–53.3047.50–64.42
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4565581015safe389–523492–625881–1148safer371–542474–642845–1184
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction68.7275.59safe64.69–72.7571.26–79.91safer63.40–74.0469.95–81.22
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.089.4120.49safe8.24–13.926.47–12.3614.71–26.28safer7.49–14.675.72–13.1113.21–27.78
Offsides
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.535.15safe1.46–3.781.43–3.622.89–7.40safer1.16–4.081.14–3.912.30–7.99
Yellow cards
38%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.603.21safe0.55–2.650.48–2.731.03–5.39safer0.29–2.920.18–3.030.47–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.79
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.995.94safe1.51–4.381.44–4.552.95–8.93safer1.12–4.771.01–4.972.14–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.35–2.28 0.10–2.53 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 2.59 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.14 1.92–6.63 | 4.45 2.71–6.19 2.24–6.66 | 8.72 5.12–12.33 4.16–13.28 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.52 8.60–16.45 7.51–17.54 | 12.21 8.65–15.77 7.69–16.73 | 24.74 17.25–32.22 15.20–34.27 | 48% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.78 5.84–11.72 5.01–12.55 | 7.97 5.28–10.65 4.55–11.38 | 16.75 11.12–22.37 9.56–23.94 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.60–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 3.34 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.80 | 9.33 5.12–13.54 4.01–14.65 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 44.84 38.05–51.63 36.38–53.30 | 55.96 49.17–62.74 47.50–64.42 | — | 24% 73% |
| Passes | 456 389–523 371–542 | 558 492–625 474–642 | 1015 881–1148 845–1184 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.72 64.69–72.75 63.40–74.04 | 75.59 71.26–79.91 69.95–81.22 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.49–14.67 | 9.41 6.47–12.36 5.72–13.11 | 20.49 14.71–26.28 13.21–27.78 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 2.62 1.46–3.78 1.16–4.08 | 2.53 1.43–3.62 1.14–3.91 | 5.15 2.89–7.40 2.30–7.99 | 43% 18% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.60 0.48–2.73 0.18–3.03 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.47–5.94 | 38% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.74 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+