Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.183.12safe0.97–2.910.33–2.041.30–4.95safer0.72–3.160.10–2.270.82–5.43
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.049.81safe3.90–7.632.30–5.786.20–13.41safer3.41–8.121.83–6.255.25–14.37
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6511.3026.95safe11.72–19.577.74–14.8619.46–34.43safer10.63–20.666.78–15.8217.41–36.48
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.397.4617.85safe7.45–13.344.78–10.1412.23–23.47safer6.62–14.164.04–10.8810.66–25.04
Blocked shots
57%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.946.83safe2.01–5.781.29–4.593.30–10.37safer1.47–6.320.79–5.082.26–11.40
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.524.0410.56safe4.30–8.732.04–6.046.35–14.77safer3.73–9.301.51–6.585.24–15.88
Possession %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction57.7142.77safe50.92–64.5035.99–49.56safer49.25–66.1734.32–51.23
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction500363864safe433–567297–430730–997safer415–585279–447694–1033
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction71.9268.22safe67.89–75.9563.90–72.55safer66.60–77.2462.59–73.86
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3413.3124.66safe8.51–14.1810.37–16.2618.87–30.44safer7.75–14.949.62–17.0117.37–31.94
Offsides
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.686.19safe2.35–4.671.59–3.783.94–8.45safer2.05–4.971.30–4.063.35–9.04
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.133.81safe0.64–2.731.00–3.261.64–5.99safer0.37–3.000.71–3.551.08–6.55
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
24%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.876.49safe1.19–4.062.31–5.423.50–9.48safer0.80–4.451.89–5.852.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 3.12 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.77 3.90–7.63 3.41–8.12 | 4.04 2.30–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 9.81 6.20–13.41 5.25–14.37 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.65 11.72–19.57 10.63–20.66 | 11.30 7.74–14.86 6.78–15.82 | 26.95 19.46–34.43 17.41–36.48 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.39 7.45–13.34 6.62–14.16 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 17.85 12.23–23.47 10.66–25.04 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.78 1.47–6.32 | 2.94 1.29–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 57% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.30 | 4.04 2.04–6.04 1.51–6.58 | 10.56 6.35–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 57.71 50.92–64.50 49.25–66.17 | 42.77 35.99–49.56 34.32–51.23 | — | 79% 17% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 415–585 | 363 297–430 279–447 | 864 730–997 694–1033 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.92 67.89–75.95 66.60–77.24 | 68.22 63.90–72.55 62.59–73.86 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.34 8.51–14.18 7.75–14.94 | 13.31 10.37–16.26 9.62–17.01 | 24.66 18.87–30.44 17.37–31.94 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 3.51 2.35–4.67 2.05–4.97 | 2.68 1.59–3.78 1.30–4.06 | 6.19 3.94–8.45 3.35–9.04 | 55% 16% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.81 1.64–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.87 2.31–5.42 1.89–5.85 | 6.49 3.50–9.48 2.69–10.30 | 24% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.